Bundesliga | Gameweek 11
Dec 13, 2020 at 5pm UK
BayArena
B. Leverkusen4 - 1Hoffenheim
FT(HT: 2-0)
Baumgartner (50')
Grillitsch (38'), Posch (58'), Vogt (74'), Nordtveit (90+1')
Grillitsch (64'), Posch (79')
Grillitsch (38'), Posch (58'), Vogt (74'), Nordtveit (90+1')
Grillitsch (64'), Posch (79')
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 46.16%. A win for Hoffenheim had a probability of 30.45% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.74%) and 2-0 (6.73%). The likeliest Hoffenheim win was 1-2 (7.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.62%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bayer Leverkusen would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Bayer Leverkusen | Draw | Hoffenheim |
| 46.16% | 23.39% | 30.45% |
| Both teams to score 61.55% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
