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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 56.13%. A win for Wolfsburg had a probability of 22.62% and a draw had a probability of 21.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.89%) and 0-1 (7.73%). The likeliest Wolfsburg win was 2-1 (5.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.52%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.
Result | ||
Wolfsburg | Draw | Bayern Munich |
22.62% | 21.25% | 56.13% |
Both teams to score 61.65% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
63.57% | 36.43% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
41.43% | 58.58% |
Wolfsburg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.82% | 29.18% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.88% | 65.12% |
Bayern Munich Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.05% | 12.95% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
60.58% | 39.43% |
Score Analysis |
Wolfsburg | Draw | Bayern Munich |
2-1 @ 5.86% 1-0 @ 4.66% 2-0 @ 2.87% 3-2 @ 2.46% 3-1 @ 2.41% 3-0 @ 1.18% Other @ 3.19% Total : 22.62% | 1-1 @ 9.52% 2-2 @ 5.99% 0-0 @ 3.78% 3-3 @ 1.68% Other @ 0.29% Total : 21.25% | 1-2 @ 9.72% 0-2 @ 7.89% 0-1 @ 7.73% 1-3 @ 6.63% 0-3 @ 5.38% 2-3 @ 4.08% 1-4 @ 3.39% 0-4 @ 2.75% 2-4 @ 2.09% 1-5 @ 1.38% 0-5 @ 1.12% Other @ 3.98% Total : 56.13% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 4 | 13 | 13 |
2 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 12 |
3 | RB Leipzig | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 11 |
4 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 10 |
5 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 9 | 2 | 10 |
6 | Heidenheim | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 9 |
7 | Freiburg | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 9 |
8 | Stuttgart | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 8 |
9 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 8 |
10 | Werder Bremen | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 8 |
11 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 8 | -2 | 6 |
12 | Mainz 05Mainz | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 10 | -2 | 5 |
13 | Wolfsburg | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 4 |
14 | St Pauli | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 4 |
15 | Augsburg | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 14 | -7 | 4 |
16 | Hoffenheim | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 15 | -6 | 3 |
17 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 11 | -6 | 1 |
18 | Holstein Kiel | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 17 | -10 | 1 |
> Bundesliga Full Table |