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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 76.34%. A draw had a probability of 14.1% and a win for Union Berlin had a probability of 9.52%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.03%) and 2-1 (8.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.35%), while for a Union Berlin win it was 1-2 (2.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Bayern Munich | Draw | Union Berlin |
76.34% | 14.14% | 9.52% |
Both teams to score 55.65% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
70.97% | 29.03% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
49.98% | 50.02% |
Bayern Munich Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
93.74% | 6.26% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
76.39% | 23.61% |
Union Berlin Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.37% | 40.63% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.77% | 77.23% |
Score Analysis |
Bayern Munich | Draw | Union Berlin |
2-0 @ 9.77% 3-0 @ 9.03% 2-1 @ 8.8% 3-1 @ 8.13% 1-0 @ 7.05% 4-0 @ 6.26% 4-1 @ 5.63% 3-2 @ 3.66% 5-0 @ 3.47% 5-1 @ 3.12% 4-2 @ 2.54% 6-0 @ 1.6% 6-1 @ 1.44% 5-2 @ 1.41% Other @ 4.44% Total : 76.34% | 1-1 @ 6.35% 2-2 @ 3.96% 0-0 @ 2.54% 3-3 @ 1.1% Other @ 0.19% Total : 14.14% | 1-2 @ 2.86% 0-1 @ 2.29% 2-3 @ 1.19% 0-2 @ 1.03% Other @ 2.15% Total : 9.52% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 15 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 47 | 13 | 34 | 36 |
2 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 15 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 37 | 21 | 16 | 32 |
3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 35 | 23 | 12 | 27 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 24 | 20 | 4 | 27 |
5 | Mainz 05Mainz | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 28 | 20 | 8 | 25 |
6 | Werder Bremen | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 26 | 25 | 1 | 25 |
7 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 25 | 20 | 5 | 24 |
8 | Freiburg | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 21 | 24 | -3 | 24 |
9 | Stuttgart | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 29 | 25 | 4 | 23 |
10 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 22 |
11 | Wolfsburg | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 31 | 25 | 6 | 21 |
12 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 17 |
13 | Augsburg | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 32 | -15 | 16 |
14 | St Pauli | 15 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 14 |
15 | Hoffenheim | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 20 | 28 | -8 | 14 |
16 | Heidenheim | 14 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 18 | 31 | -13 | 10 |
17 | Holstein Kiel | 15 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 19 | 38 | -19 | 8 |
18 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 14 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 35 | -24 | 3 |
> Bundesliga Full Table |