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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wolfsburg win with a probability of 54.63%. A win for VfL Bochum had a probability of 23.27% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wolfsburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.52%) and 2-0 (8.23%). The likeliest VfL Bochum win was 1-2 (6.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.13%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Wolfsburg would win this match.
Result | ||
Wolfsburg | Draw | VfL Bochum |
54.63% ( -0.06) | 22.1% ( 0.02) | 23.27% ( 0.04) |
Both teams to score 59.47% ( -0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.32% ( -0.05) | 39.68% ( 0.05) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.97% ( -0.05) | 62.03% ( 0.05) |
Wolfsburg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.49% ( -0.04) | 14.51% ( 0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
57.49% ( -0.07) | 42.51% ( 0.07) |
VfL Bochum Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.57% ( 0.01) | 30.43% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.36% ( 0.01) | 66.64% ( -0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Wolfsburg | Draw | VfL Bochum |
2-1 @ 9.79% ( -0) 1-0 @ 8.52% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 8.23% ( -0) 3-1 @ 6.3% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 5.29% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 3.75% ( -0) 4-1 @ 3.04% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 2.56% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.81% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1.17% ( -0) 5-0 @ 0.99% ( -0) Other @ 3.19% Total : 54.63% | 1-1 @ 10.13% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.82% ( 0) 0-0 @ 4.42% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.49% ( -0) Other @ 0.23% Total : 22.09% | 1-2 @ 6.03% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 5.25% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 3.12% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.39% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.31% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.24% ( 0) Other @ 2.93% Total : 23.27% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 15 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 47 | 13 | 34 | 36 |
2 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 15 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 37 | 21 | 16 | 32 |
3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 35 | 23 | 12 | 27 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 24 | 20 | 4 | 27 |
5 | Mainz 05Mainz | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 28 | 20 | 8 | 25 |
6 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 28 | 22 | 6 | 25 |
7 | Werder Bremen | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 26 | 25 | 1 | 25 |
8 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 25 | 20 | 5 | 24 |
9 | Freiburg | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 21 | 24 | -3 | 24 |
10 | Stuttgart | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 29 | 25 | 4 | 23 |
11 | Wolfsburg | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 32 | 28 | 4 | 21 |
12 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 17 |
13 | Augsburg | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 32 | -15 | 16 |
14 | St Pauli | 15 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 14 |
15 | Hoffenheim | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 20 | 28 | -8 | 14 |
16 | Heidenheim | 15 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 18 | 33 | -15 | 10 |
17 | Holstein Kiel | 15 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 19 | 38 | -19 | 8 |
18 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 15 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 13 | 35 | -22 | 6 |
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