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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wolfsburg win with a probability of 45.24%. A win for Stuttgart had a probability of 29.99% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wolfsburg win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.22%) and 2-0 (7.43%). The likeliest Stuttgart win was 0-1 (7.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.67%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Wolfsburg would win this match.
Result | ||
Wolfsburg | Draw | Stuttgart |
45.24% ( 0.43) | 24.77% ( -0.07) | 29.99% ( -0.37) |
Both teams to score 56.44% ( 0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.54% ( 0.12) | 46.46% ( -0.12) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.26% ( 0.11) | 68.74% ( -0.11) |
Wolfsburg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.39% ( 0.24) | 20.6% ( -0.24) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.85% ( 0.38) | 53.15% ( -0.38) |
Stuttgart Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.08% ( -0.19) | 28.92% ( 0.19) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.21% ( -0.24) | 64.79% ( 0.24) |
Score Analysis |
Wolfsburg | Draw | Stuttgart |
1-0 @ 9.41% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.22% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 7.43% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 4.86% ( 0.06) 3-0 @ 3.91% ( 0.07) 3-2 @ 3.01% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.92% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 1.55% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 1.19% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.73% Total : 45.24% | 1-1 @ 11.67% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 5.96% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 5.72% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.25% ( 0) Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.76% | 0-1 @ 7.39% ( -0.08) 1-2 @ 7.25% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 4.59% ( -0.07) 1-3 @ 3% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 2.37% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.9% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 0.93% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.58% Total : 29.99% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 14 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 42 | 12 | 30 | 33 |
2 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 14 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 32 | 20 | 12 | 29 |
3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 34 | 20 | 14 | 27 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 27 |
5 | Freiburg | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 24 |
6 | Stuttgart | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 29 | 24 | 5 | 23 |
7 | Mainz 05Mainz | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 25 | 19 | 6 | 22 |
8 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 22 |
9 | Werder Bremen | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 22 |
10 | Wolfsburg | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 31 | 25 | 6 | 21 |
11 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 21 |
12 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 15 | -2 | 17 |
13 | Augsburg | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 27 | -11 | 16 |
14 | Hoffenheim | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 14 |
15 | St Pauli | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 11 |
16 | Heidenheim | 14 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 18 | 31 | -13 | 10 |
17 | Holstein Kiel | 14 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 14 | 37 | -23 | 5 |
18 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 14 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 35 | -24 | 3 |
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