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Benfica
Champions League | Group Stage
Oct 20, 2021 at 8pm UK
Estádio da Luz
Bayern logo

Benfica
0 - 4
Bayern


Otamendi (45'), Mario (51')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Sane (70', 84'), Everton (80' og.), Lewandowski (82')
Upamecano (56'), Hernandez (59')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Champions League clash between Benfica and Bayern Munich, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 48.66%. A win for Benfica had a probability of 29.88% and a draw had a probability of 21.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (5.99%) and 0-2 (5.71%). The likeliest Benfica win was 2-1 (6.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.8%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.

Result
BenficaDrawBayern Munich
29.88%21.46%48.66%
Both teams to score 68.43%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
69.3%30.7%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
47.97%52.03%
Benfica Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.88%21.11%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.05%53.95%
Bayern Munich Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.74%13.25%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.96%40.04%
Score Analysis
    Benfica 29.88%
    Bayern Munich 48.66%
    Draw 21.46%
BenficaDrawBayern Munich
2-1 @ 6.84%
1-0 @ 4.35%
3-2 @ 3.58%
3-1 @ 3.55%
2-0 @ 3.38%
3-0 @ 1.76%
4-2 @ 1.39%
4-1 @ 1.38%
4-3 @ 0.94%
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 29.88%
1-1 @ 8.8%
2-2 @ 6.91%
0-0 @ 2.8%
3-3 @ 2.41%
Other @ 0.54%
Total : 21.46%
1-2 @ 8.89%
1-3 @ 5.99%
0-2 @ 5.71%
0-1 @ 5.66%
2-3 @ 4.66%
0-3 @ 3.85%
1-4 @ 3.03%
2-4 @ 2.35%
0-4 @ 1.95%
1-5 @ 1.22%
3-4 @ 1.22%
2-5 @ 0.95%
Other @ 3.2%
Total : 48.66%

How you voted: Benfica vs Bayern

Benfica
10.5%
Draw
6.1%
Bayern Munich
83.4%
506
Head to Head
Nov 27, 2018 8pm
Group Stage
Bayern
5-1
Benfica
Robben (13', 30'), Lewandowski (36', 51'), Ribery (76')
Robben (24'), Ribery (33')
Fernandes (46')
Semedo (87')
Sep 19, 2018 8pm
Group Stage
Benfica
0-2
Bayern

Fejsa (22'), Jardel (39')
Lewandowski (10'), Sanches (54')
Kimmich (18'), Hummels (52')
Apr 13, 2016 7.45pm
Quarter-Finals
Benfica
2-2
Bayern
Apr 5, 2016 7.45pm
Quarter-Finals
Bayern
1-0
Benfica
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
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1Liverpool19144147192846
2Arsenal20117239182140
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest20124429191040
4Chelsea20106439241536
5Newcastle UnitedNewcastle20105534221235
6Manchester CityMan City2010463627934
7Bournemouth209653023733
8Aston Villa209563032-232
9Fulham207943027330
10Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton2061043029128
11Brentford208393835327
12Tottenham HotspurSpurs20731042301224
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd206592328-523
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham206592439-1523
15Crystal Palace204972128-721
16Everton193881525-1017
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves2044123145-1416
18Ipswich TownIpswich2037102035-1516
19Leicester CityLeicester2035122344-2114
20Southampton2013161244-326


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