Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 59.03%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Portimonense had a probability of 16.86%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.25%) and 2-1 (9.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.19%), while for a Portimonense win it was 0-1 (6.72%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Benfica | Draw | Portimonense |
59.03% | 24.11% | 16.86% |
Both teams to score 43.2% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.74% | 56.26% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.7% | 77.3% |
Benfica Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.11% | 18.89% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.63% | 50.37% |
Portimonense Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
53.26% | 46.74% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
17.71% | 82.29% |
Score Analysis |
Benfica | Draw | Portimonense |
1-0 @ 14.71% 2-0 @ 12.25% 2-1 @ 9.33% 3-0 @ 6.81% 3-1 @ 5.18% 4-0 @ 2.84% 4-1 @ 2.16% 3-2 @ 1.97% 5-0 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.84% Total : 59.02% | 1-1 @ 11.19% 0-0 @ 8.83% 2-2 @ 3.55% Other @ 0.54% Total : 24.11% | 0-1 @ 6.72% 1-2 @ 4.26% 0-2 @ 2.55% 1-3 @ 1.08% Other @ 2.25% Total : 16.86% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 11 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 39 | 5 | 34 | 33 |
2 | Porto | 11 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 28 | 8 | 20 | 27 |
3 | Benfica | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 28 | 7 | 21 | 25 |
4 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 11 | 7 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 12 | 2 | 21 |
5 | Braga | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 20 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 18 |
7 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 17 |
8 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 17 |
9 | Casa Pia | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 14 | -4 | 13 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 20 | -10 | 12 |
11 | Gil Vicente | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 10 |
12 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 16 | -8 | 10 |
13 | AVS | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 19 | -10 | 10 |
14 | BoavistaBoavista | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 15 | -8 | 9 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 20 | -10 | 9 |
16 | Nacional | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 15 | -9 | 8 |
17 | AroucaArouca | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 19 | -13 | 8 |
18 | SC FarenseFarense | 11 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 18 | -13 | 5 |
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