Champions League | First Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Jul 12, 2023 at 6pm UK
Bravida Arena
Hacken3 - 1New Saints
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: AIK 1-2 Hacken
Saturday, July 8 at 2pm in Swedish Allsvenskan
Saturday, July 8 at 2pm in Swedish Allsvenskan
Goals
for
for
38
Last Game: Cardiff 3-1 New Saints
Tuesday, July 4 at 7.30pm in Club Friendlies 1
Tuesday, July 4 at 7.30pm in Club Friendlies 1
We said: Hacken 3-0 The New Saints
The New Saints may well dominate their domestic league, but it is a much-lower standard than the Allsvenskan, so the hosts should run out comfortable winners. In truth, the Swedish side's main aim will probably be to chalk up a lead big enough to ensure they can rest players in the second leg next week. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hacken win with a probability of 48.64%. A win for The New Saints had a probability of 30.73% and a draw had a probability of 20.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hacken win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.02%) and 3-2 (5.11%). The likeliest The New Saints win was 1-2 (6.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.75%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Hacken would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Hacken | Draw | The New Saints |
48.64% ( 1.28) | 20.63% ( 0.03) | 30.73% ( -1.32) |
| Both teams to score 72.26% ( -0.92) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 74.01% ( -0.88) | 25.99% ( 0.88) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 53.79% ( -1.14) | 46.2% ( 1.14) |
| Hacken Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.44% ( 0.05) | 11.56% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 63.51% ( 0.1) | 36.49% ( -0.1) |
| The New Saints Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.7% ( -1.08) | 18.3% ( 1.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 50.62% ( -1.87) | 49.38% ( 1.87) |
| Score Analysis |
Hacken 48.64%
The New Saints 30.73%
Draw 20.63%
| Hacken | Draw | The New Saints |
| 2-1 @ 8.36% ( 0.21) 3-1 @ 6.02% ( 0.16)3-2 @ 5.11% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 4.92% ( 0.29)1-0 @ 4.56% ( 0.26)3-0 @ 3.54% ( 0.21)4-1 @ 3.25% ( 0.09)4-2 @ 2.76% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 1.91% ( 0.12)4-3 @ 1.56% ( -0.07)5-1 @ 1.4% ( 0.04)5-2 @ 1.19% ( -0.01)Other @ 4.07% Total : 48.64% | 1-1 @ 7.75% ( 0.18) 2-2 @ 7.1% ( -0.07)3-3 @ 2.89% ( -0.13)0-0 @ 2.12% ( 0.12)Other @ 0.77% Total : 20.63% | 1-2 @ 6.58% ( -0.08) 2-3 @ 4.02% ( -0.19)1-3 @ 3.73% ( -0.18)0-1 @ 3.59% ( 0.08)0-2 @ 3.05% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 1.73% ( -0.09)2-4 @ 1.71% ( -0.14)1-4 @ 1.58% ( -0.14)3-4 @ 1.23% ( -0.1)Other @ 3.52% Total : 30.73% |
How you voted: Hacken vs New Saints
Hacken
89.1%Draw
2.2%The New Saints
8.7%46
Form Guide
