MX23RW : Sunday, September 29 18:54:35| >> :300:86500:86500:
Newtown logo
Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 7
Apr 1, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
G.F. Grigg Latham Park

Newtown
0 - 5
New Saints


Roberts (60')
Mills-Evans (57'), Roberts (78')
FT(HT: 0-2)
McManus (6', 44', 57' pen.), Cieslewicz (68'), Dafydd (90+1')
Marriott (80')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Newtown AFC and The New Saints.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Connah's Quay 2-0 Newtown
Friday, March 24 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: New Saints 7-1 Cardiff MU
Saturday, March 25 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a The New Saints win with a probability of 79.09%. A draw had a probability of 13.9% and a win for Newtown AFC had a probability of 7.06%.

The most likely scoreline for a The New Saints win was 0-2 with a probability of 13.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (11.38%) and 0-1 (10.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.59%), while for a Newtown AFC win it was 1-0 (2.55%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that The New Saints would win this match.

Result
Newtown AFCDrawThe New Saints
7.06% (0.119 0.12) 13.86% (-0.028 -0.03) 79.09% (-0.087000000000003 -0.09)
Both teams to score 43.99% (0.801 0.8)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.68% (0.666 0.67)37.32% (-0.664 -0.66)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.47% (0.71400000000001 0.71)59.54% (-0.71100000000001 -0.71)
Newtown AFC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
47.57% (0.802 0.8)52.43% (-0.799 -0.8)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
13.72% (0.512 0.51)86.28% (-0.509 -0.51)
The New Saints Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.47% (0.13 0.13)7.53% (-0.127 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
73% (0.333 0.33)27% (-0.329 -0.33)
Score Analysis
    Newtown AFC 7.06%
    The New Saints 79.07%
    Draw 13.86%
Newtown AFCDrawThe New Saints
1-0 @ 2.55% (-0.022 -0.02)
2-1 @ 2.13% (0.046 0.05)
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 7.06%
1-1 @ 6.59% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-0 @ 3.95% (-0.128 -0.13)
2-2 @ 2.75% (0.077 0.08)
Other @ 0.57%
Total : 13.86%
0-2 @ 13.2% (-0.25 -0.25)
0-3 @ 11.38% (-0.14 -0.14)
0-1 @ 10.2% (-0.27 -0.27)
1-2 @ 8.53% (0.041 0.04)
0-4 @ 7.36% (-0.043 -0.04)
1-3 @ 7.35% (0.082999999999999 0.08)
1-4 @ 4.75% (0.084000000000001 0.08)
0-5 @ 3.81% (0.0029999999999997 0)
1-5 @ 2.46% (0.06 0.06)
2-3 @ 2.37% (0.082 0.08)
0-6 @ 1.64% (0.012 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.53% (0.062 0.06)
1-6 @ 1.06% (0.032 0.03)
Other @ 3.43%
Total : 79.07%

Head to Head
Feb 18, 2023 2.30pm
New Saints
1-0
Newtown
Astles (45')
Daniels (56'), Wilson (64'), Williams (83')

Robles (84')
Sep 30, 2022 7.45pm
New Saints
4-1
Newtown
McManus (9' pen.), Davies (25'), Daniels (29'), Cieslewicz (81')
Cieslewicz (76')
Robles (36')
Aug 13, 2022 2.30pm
Newtown
0-0
New Saints

Williams (40'), Ismail (50')
Ismail (61')
Apr 18, 2022 2.30pm
Newtown
0-2
New Saints

Roberts (48'), Walker (76'), Ismail (87')
Brobbel (64'), Canavan (90+2')
Williams (84')
Mar 25, 2022 7.45pm
New Saints
0-1
Newtown

Marriott (45+2'), Williams (87')
Rushton (31')
Walker (29'), Arsan (81'), Taylor (88')
rhs 2.0
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