MX23RW : Saturday, January 18 04:04:02| >> :300:86500:86500:
Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 8
Apr 8, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
The KYMCO Stadium

Pen-y-Bont
2 - 5
New Saints

Reffell (55'), Wood (85')
Yorwerth (16'), Harling (65')
FT(HT: 0-2)
McManus (31', 72'), Redmond (39'), Baker (71'), Davies (80')
Redmond (22')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Pen-y-Bont and The New Saints.

Form, Standings, Stats

Pen-y-Bont

All competitions
Last Game: Cardiff MU 2-3 Pen-y-Bont
Friday, March 31 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League

The New Saints

All competitions
Last Game: Newtown 0-5 New Saints
Saturday, April 1 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a The New Saints win with a probability of 72.85%. A draw had a probability of 17.2% and a win for Pen-y-Bont had a probability of 9.99%.

The most likely scoreline for a The New Saints win was 0-2 with a probability of 13.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.51%) and 0-3 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.16%), while for a Pen-y-Bont win it was 1-0 (3.59%). The actual scoreline of 2-5 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that The New Saints would win this match.

Result
Pen-y-BontDrawThe New Saints
9.99% (0.0181 0.02) 17.16% (0.012 0.01) 72.85% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Both teams to score 45.54% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.31% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)42.69% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.91% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)65.09% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Pen-y-Bont Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
50.75% (0.041999999999994 0.04)49.24% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
15.87% (0.029 0.03)84.13% (-0.025000000000006 -0.03)
The New Saints Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.72% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)10.28% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
66.34% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)33.66% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Pen-y-Bont 9.99%
    The New Saints 72.83%
    Draw 17.16%
Pen-y-BontDrawThe New Saints
1-0 @ 3.59% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-1 @ 2.89% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-0 @ 1.27% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 9.99%
1-1 @ 8.16% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
0-0 @ 5.06% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-2 @ 3.29% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.65%
Total : 17.16%
0-2 @ 13.09% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-1 @ 11.51% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-3 @ 9.94% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
1-2 @ 9.28% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 7.04% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-4 @ 5.65% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-4 @ 4%
0-5 @ 2.57% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 2.49% (0.0029999999999997 0)
1-5 @ 1.82%
2-4 @ 1.42% (0.002 0)
0-6 @ 0.98% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.05%
Total : 72.83%

Head to Head
Feb 25, 2023 12.45pm
New Saints
1-1
Pen-y-Bont
Smith (18')
Dafydd (45+1'), Cieslewicz (76'), Roberts (79'), Davies (79'), Astles (80')
Wood (81' pen.)
Evans (40'), Yorwerth (43')
Nov 19, 2022 5.15pm
Pen-y-Bont
0-0
New Saints

Georgievsky (24')
Aug 20, 2022 2.30pm
New Saints
1-0
Pen-y-Bont
Brobbel (90+1')
Redmond (56')

Owen (30')
Apr 9, 2022 2.30pm
Pen-y-Bont
1-2
New Saints
Ahmun (6')
Griffiths (28'), Rogers (83')
Brobbel (21', 57')
Davies (26'), Robles (81'), Astles (82')
Mar 12, 2022 12.45pm
New Saints
3-3
Pen-y-Bont
Clark (64'), Harling (76' og.), Baker (81')
Davies (26'), Williams (72')
Wood (31'), Snaith (44'), Walsh (89')
Owen (34'), Harling (68')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1The New SaintsNew Saints22170561263551
2Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont22155242162650
3Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest22117429111840
4Caernarfon TownCaernarfon2210483535034
5Bala TownBala Town2271142821732
6Cardiff MUCardiff MU229583229332
7Barry Town UnitedBarry228683238-630
8Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay2275103226626
9Briton Ferry2263133345-1221
10Flint Town UnitedFlint Town2262142747-2020
11Newtown AFCNewtown2254132446-2219
12Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth2242161853-3514
> Welsh Premier League Full Table


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