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Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 8
Apr 8, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
The KYMCO Stadium

Pen-y-Bont
2 - 5
New Saints

Reffell (55'), Wood (85')
Yorwerth (16'), Harling (65')
FT(HT: 0-2)
McManus (31', 72'), Redmond (39'), Baker (71'), Davies (80')
Redmond (22')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Pen-y-Bont and The New Saints.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cardiff MU 2-3 Pen-y-Bont
Friday, March 31 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Newtown 0-5 New Saints
Saturday, April 1 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a The New Saints win with a probability of 72.85%. A draw had a probability of 17.2% and a win for Pen-y-Bont had a probability of 9.99%.

The most likely scoreline for a The New Saints win was 0-2 with a probability of 13.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.51%) and 0-3 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.16%), while for a Pen-y-Bont win it was 1-0 (3.59%). The actual scoreline of 2-5 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that The New Saints would win this match.

Result
Pen-y-BontDrawThe New Saints
9.99% (0.0181 0.02) 17.16% (0.012 0.01) 72.85% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Both teams to score 45.54% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.31% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)42.69% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.91% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)65.09% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Pen-y-Bont Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
50.75% (0.041999999999994 0.04)49.24% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
15.87% (0.029 0.03)84.13% (-0.025000000000006 -0.03)
The New Saints Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.72% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)10.28% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
66.34% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)33.66% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Pen-y-Bont 9.99%
    The New Saints 72.83%
    Draw 17.16%
Pen-y-BontDrawThe New Saints
1-0 @ 3.59% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-1 @ 2.89% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-0 @ 1.27% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 9.99%
1-1 @ 8.16% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
0-0 @ 5.06% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-2 @ 3.29% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.65%
Total : 17.16%
0-2 @ 13.09% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-1 @ 11.51% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-3 @ 9.94% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
1-2 @ 9.28% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 7.04% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-4 @ 5.65% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-4 @ 4%
0-5 @ 2.57% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 2.49% (0.0029999999999997 0)
1-5 @ 1.82%
2-4 @ 1.42% (0.002 0)
0-6 @ 0.98% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.05%
Total : 72.83%

Head to Head
Feb 25, 2023 12.45pm
New Saints
1-1
Pen-y-Bont
Smith (18')
Dafydd (45+1'), Cieslewicz (76'), Roberts (79'), Davies (79'), Astles (80')
Wood (81' pen.)
Evans (40'), Yorwerth (43')
Nov 19, 2022 5.15pm
Pen-y-Bont
0-0
New Saints

Georgievsky (24')
Aug 20, 2022 2.30pm
Apr 9, 2022 2.30pm
Pen-y-Bont
1-2
New Saints
Ahmun (6')
Griffiths (28'), Rogers (83')
Brobbel (21', 57')
Davies (26'), Robles (81'), Astles (82')
Mar 12, 2022 12.45pm
New Saints
3-3
Pen-y-Bont
Clark (64'), Harling (76' og.), Baker (81')
Davies (26'), Williams (72')
Wood (31'), Snaith (44'), Walsh (89')
Owen (34'), Harling (68')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont1611413292337
2The New SaintsNew Saints14110341142733
3Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest168532081229
4Cardiff MUCardiff MU167452320325
5Barry Town UnitedBarry167452528-325
6Caernarfon TownCaernarfon167362324-124
7Bala TownBala Town164932218421
8Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay165472018219
9Newtown AFCNewtown165472133-1219
10Flint Town UnitedFlint Town1632111834-1611
11Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth1631121439-2510
12Briton Ferry1422101529-148


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