Shakhtar

1 - 1

Sheriff Tiraspol

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shakhtar Donetsk win with a probability of 39.31%. A win for Sheriff Tiraspol had a probability of 34.22% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shakhtar Donetsk win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.46%) and 2-0 (6.85%). The likeliest Sheriff Tiraspol win was 0-1 (9.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.