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Champions League
Champions League | First Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Jul 9, 2024 at 7pm UK
Park Hall Stadium

New Saints
3 - 0
Decic

Young (4', 28'), Davies (39')
Davies (81'), Roberts (84')
FT(HT: 3-0)

Ujkaj (22'), Matic (45')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Champions League clash between The New Saints and Decic, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

The New Saints

All competitions
Last Game: New Saints 2-0 Connah's Quay
Sunday, April 21 at 2.15pm in Welsh Premier League
Next Game: Decic vs. New Saints
Tuesday, July 16 at 8pm in Champions League

Decic

Last Game: Decic 1-2 Dinamo Minsk
Thursday, July 14 at 7.45pm in Europa Conference League
Next Game: Decic vs. New Saints
Tuesday, July 16 at 8pm in Champions League
TeamGoals scoredAvg per gameTop scorer
1Aberystwyth0nan
2Bala Town0nan
3Barry0nan
4Briton Ferry0nan
5Caernarfon0nan
6Cardiff MU0nan
7Connah's Quay0nan
8Flint Town0nan
9Haverfordwest0nan
10Newtown0nan
11Pen-y-Bont0nan
12New Saints0nan

We said: The New Saints 1-0 Decic

 With both sides set to play their first game of 2024-25, we think that Tuesday's contest could produce a cagey contest as the two teams look to ease themselves into the new campaign. However, we think that TNS could make full use of home advantage to claim a narrow victory over a Decic side that has failed to win any of their previous four European outings. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a The New Saints win with a probability of 81.22%. A draw has a probability of 12.1% and a win for Decic has a probability of 6.67%.

The most likely scoreline for a The New Saints win is 2-0 with a probability of 11.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 3-0 (10.65%) and 2-1 (8.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (5.63%), while for a Decic win it is 1-2 (2.09%).

Result
The New SaintsDrawDecic
81.22% (0.021000000000001 0.02) 12.1% (0.010000000000002 0.01) 6.67% (-0.0329 -0.03)
Both teams to score 49.48% (-0.267 -0.27)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
70.49% (-0.214 -0.21)29.51% (0.211 0.21)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
49.4% (-0.262 -0.26)50.6% (0.258 0.26)
The New Saints Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
94.51% (-0.040000000000006 -0.04)5.49% (0.037 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
78.57% (-0.111 -0.11)21.42% (0.109 0.11)
Decic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.35% (-0.262 -0.26)47.64% (0.258 0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.03% (-0.195 -0.2)82.96% (0.19199999999999 0.19)
Score Analysis
    The New Saints 81.21%
    Decic 6.67%
    Draw 12.1%
The New SaintsDrawDecic
2-0 @ 11.01% (0.08 0.08)
3-0 @ 10.65% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
2-1 @ 8.17% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-1 @ 7.9% (-0.017 -0.02)
4-0 @ 7.73% (0.022 0.02)
1-0 @ 7.59% (0.075 0.08)
4-1 @ 5.73% (-0.026000000000001 -0.03)
5-0 @ 4.49% (0.0020000000000007 0)
5-1 @ 3.33% (-0.022 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.93% (-0.028 -0.03)
6-0 @ 2.17% (-0.004 -0)
4-2 @ 2.13% (-0.026 -0.03)
6-1 @ 1.61% (-0.014 -0.01)
5-2 @ 1.23% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 4.54%
Total : 81.21%
1-1 @ 5.63% (0.014 0.01)
2-2 @ 3.03% (-0.021 -0.02)
0-0 @ 2.62% (0.032 0.03)
Other @ 0.83%
Total : 12.1%
1-2 @ 2.09% (-0.01 -0.01)
0-1 @ 1.94% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 6.67%

How you voted: New Saints vs Decic

The New Saints
86.8%
Draw
11.3%
Decic
1.9%
53
rhs 2.0
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