MX23RW : Wednesday, October 2 17:26:23| >> :300:86500:86500:
Newtown logo
Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 6
Mar 16, 2024 at 2.30pm UK
G.F. Grigg Latham Park

Newtown
0 - 1
New Saints


Hughes (5'), Roberts (23'), Sears (57'), Robles (81'), Mills-Evans (90')
Jones (84')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Mills-Evans (33' og.)
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Newtown AFC and The New Saints.

Form, Standings, Stats

Newtown AFC

All competitions
Last Game: Newtown 2-0 Cardiff MU
Saturday, March 9 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League

The New Saints

All competitions
Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Connah's Quay 1-5 New Saints
Friday, March 8 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a The New Saints win with a probability of 80.02%. A draw had a probability of 12.5% and a win for Newtown AFC had a probability of 7.52%.

The most likely scoreline for a The New Saints win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (9.84%) and 1-2 (8.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.65%), while for a Newtown AFC win it was 2-1 (2.32%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that The New Saints would win this match.

Result
Newtown AFCDrawThe New Saints
7.52% (0.083 0.08) 12.46% (0.22 0.22) 80.02% (-0.304 -0.3)
Both teams to score 53.08% (-0.61499999999999 -0.61)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
72.35% (-0.89 -0.89)27.65% (0.891 0.89)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
51.7% (-1.121 -1.12)48.3% (1.121 1.12)
Newtown AFC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.06% (-0.517 -0.52)43.93% (0.51600000000001 0.52)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.93% (-0.427 -0.43)80.07% (0.42699999999999 0.43)
The New Saints Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
94.66% (-0.224 -0.22)5.33% (0.223 0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
79.03% (-0.66099999999999 -0.66)20.97% (0.66 0.66)
Score Analysis
    Newtown AFC 7.52%
    The New Saints 80.01%
    Draw 12.46%
Newtown AFCDrawThe New Saints
2-1 @ 2.32% (0.027 0.03)
1-0 @ 1.93% (0.076 0.08)
3-2 @ 0.93% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 7.52%
1-1 @ 5.65% (0.144 0.14)
2-2 @ 3.41% (-0.01 -0.01)
0-0 @ 2.34% (0.125 0.13)
3-3 @ 0.91% (-0.029 -0.03)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 12.46%
0-2 @ 10.06% (0.249 0.25)
0-3 @ 9.84% (0.109 0.11)
1-2 @ 8.28% (0.093 0.09)
1-3 @ 8.09% (-0.026 -0.03)
0-4 @ 7.21% (-0.024 -0.02)
0-1 @ 6.87% (0.27 0.27)
1-4 @ 5.93% (-0.105 -0.11)
0-5 @ 4.23% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)
1-5 @ 3.48% (-0.114 -0.11)
2-3 @ 3.33% (-0.058 -0.06)
2-4 @ 2.44% (-0.079 -0.08)
0-6 @ 2.06% (-0.068 -0.07)
1-6 @ 1.7% (-0.081 -0.08)
2-5 @ 1.43% (-0.068 -0.07)
Other @ 5.09%
Total : 80.01%

Head to Head
Feb 6, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 1
New Saints
3-0
Newtown
Clark (8'), McManus (32' pen., 60')

Robles (28'), Roberts (30'), Sutton (64')
Jan 13, 2024 5.15pm
Gameweek 22
New Saints
3-1
Newtown
Young (38'), Williams (60'), McManus (84')
Oswell (47')
Hughes (54'), Hughes (54'), Jones (65')
Nov 4, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 15
Newtown
0-2
New Saints

Gabriel Robles (18'), Hughes (36'), Smith (65'), Evans (70'), Sutton (90+4')
Daniels (61'), Clark (90+3')
Hudson (2'), Williams (45+3'), Daniels (70')
Apr 1, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 7
Newtown
0-5
New Saints
McManus (6', 44', 57'), Cieslewicz (68'), Dafydd (90+1')
Feb 18, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 2
New Saints
1-0
Newtown
Astles (45')
rhs 2.0
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