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Championship | Gameweek 39
Apr 2, 2021 at 3pm UK
Vitality Stadium
Middlesbrough logo

Bournemouth
3 - 1
Middlesbrough

Billing (14'), Lerma (66'), Solanke (83')
Billing (59'), Smith (79')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Watmore (63')
McNair (69'), Bola (90+1')

The Match

Match Report

Cherries boss Jonathan Woodgate was victorious against former club Boro.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Championship clash between Bournemouth and Middlesbrough, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bournemouth win with a probability of 41.9%. A win for Middlesbrough had a probability of 31.33% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bournemouth win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.67%) and 2-0 (7.6%). The likeliest Middlesbrough win was 0-1 (9.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.71%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bournemouth would win this match.

Result
BournemouthDrawMiddlesbrough
41.9%26.78%31.33%
Both teams to score 50.63%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.72%54.28%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.32%75.68%
Bournemouth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.41%25.59%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.54%60.46%
Middlesbrough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.04%31.96%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.59%68.41%
Score Analysis
    Bournemouth 41.89%
    Middlesbrough 31.33%
    Draw 26.77%
BournemouthDrawMiddlesbrough
1-0 @ 11.14%
2-1 @ 8.67%
2-0 @ 7.6%
3-1 @ 3.94%
3-0 @ 3.45%
3-2 @ 2.25%
4-1 @ 1.34%
4-0 @ 1.18%
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 41.89%
1-1 @ 12.71%
0-0 @ 8.18%
2-2 @ 4.94%
Other @ 0.94%
Total : 26.77%
0-1 @ 9.33%
1-2 @ 7.25%
0-2 @ 5.32%
1-3 @ 2.76%
0-3 @ 2.02%
2-3 @ 1.88%
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 31.33%

Head to Head
Sep 19, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 2
Middlesbrough
1-1
Bournemouth
Browne (81')
Saville (30')
Solanke (38')
Mepham (51'), Stacey (63')
Oct 24, 2017 7.45pm
Fourth Round
Bournemouth
3-1
Middlesbrough
Simpson (49'), Wilson (75' pen.), Afobe (82')
Tavernier (56')
Fry (39')
Apr 22, 2017 3pm
Bournemouth
4-0
Middlesbrough
King (2'), Afobe (16'), Pugh (65'), Daniels (70')

Ramirez (14'), Friend (58'), Ayala (67')
Ramirez (20')
Oct 29, 2016 3pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd22155232112148
2Leeds UnitedLeeds22136341152645
3Burnley2212822891944
4Sunderland22127334181643
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2111462518737
6Middlesbrough22105738281035
7Watford2110473028234
8West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom2171132416832
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds229582830-232
10Millwall217772118328
11Bristol City216962626027
12Swansea CitySwansea227692424027
13Norwich CityNorwich226883734326
14Queens Park RangersQPR2251072328-525
15Luton TownLuton2274112538-1325
16Derby CountyDerby2266102728-124
17Coventry CityCoventry2266102834-624
18Preston North EndPreston2241172229-723
19Stoke CityStoke2257102330-722
20Portsmouth204882535-1020
21Hull City2247112131-1019
22Cardiff CityCardiff2146111934-1518
23Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2146112137-1618
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2146112245-2318


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