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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff City win with a probability of 55.55%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Peterborough United had a probability of 19.66%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff City win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.08%) and 2-1 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.65%), while for a Peterborough United win it was 0-1 (7.19%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Cardiff City would win this match.
Result | ||
Cardiff City | Draw | Peterborough United |
55.55% | 24.79% | 19.66% |
Both teams to score 45.95% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.86% | 55.14% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.62% | 76.38% |
Cardiff City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.2% | 19.79% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.14% | 51.86% |
Peterborough United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
57.29% | 42.7% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
20.96% | 79.04% |
Score Analysis |
Cardiff City | Draw | Peterborough United |
1-0 @ 13.69% 2-0 @ 11.08% 2-1 @ 9.44% 3-0 @ 5.99% 3-1 @ 5.09% 4-0 @ 2.43% 3-2 @ 2.17% 4-1 @ 2.06% Other @ 3.6% Total : 55.54% | 1-1 @ 11.65% 0-0 @ 8.45% 2-2 @ 4.01% Other @ 0.67% Total : 24.79% | 0-1 @ 7.19% 1-2 @ 4.96% 0-2 @ 3.06% 1-3 @ 1.41% 2-3 @ 1.14% Other @ 1.9% Total : 19.66% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 16 |
2 | Sunderland | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 15 |
3 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 15 |
4 | Burnley | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 4 | 9 | 14 |
5 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 4 | 8 | 14 |
6 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 13 |
7 | Watford | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 13 |
8 | Middlesbrough | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 11 |
9 | Swansea CitySwansea | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 11 |
10 | Norwich CityNorwich | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 9 | 2 | 11 |
11 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 10 |
12 | Hull City | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 9 |
13 | Derby CountyDerby | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 9 |
14 | Bristol City | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 13 | -4 | 9 |
15 | Millwall | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 8 |
16 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 8 |
17 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 7 |
18 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 14 | -5 | 7 |
19 | Luton TownLuton | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 7 |
20 | Stoke CityStoke | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 11 | -7 | 6 |
21 | Coventry CityCoventry | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 5 |
22 | Preston North EndPreston | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 12 | -8 | 5 |
23 | Portsmouth | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 13 | -6 | 4 |
24 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 17 | -15 | 1 |
> Championship Full Table |