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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff City win with a probability of 41.92%. A win for Derby County had a probability of 31.19% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff City win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.64%) and 0-2 (7.65%). The likeliest Derby County win was 1-0 (9.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Derby County | Draw | Cardiff City |
31.19% | 26.89% | 41.92% |
Both teams to score 50.24% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.24% | 54.76% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.93% | 76.07% |
Derby County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.7% | 32.3% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.2% | 68.8% |
Cardiff City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.21% | 25.79% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.26% | 60.74% |
Score Analysis |
Derby County | Draw | Cardiff City |
1-0 @ 9.42% 2-1 @ 7.21% 2-0 @ 5.32% 3-1 @ 2.72% 3-0 @ 2% 3-2 @ 1.84% Other @ 2.69% Total : 31.19% | 1-1 @ 12.75% 0-0 @ 8.33% 2-2 @ 4.88% Other @ 0.92% Total : 26.88% | 0-1 @ 11.28% 1-2 @ 8.64% 0-2 @ 7.65% 1-3 @ 3.9% 0-3 @ 3.46% 2-3 @ 2.21% 1-4 @ 1.32% 0-4 @ 1.17% Other @ 2.28% Total : 41.91% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |