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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hull City win with a probability of 41.77%. A win for Derby County had a probability of 29.35% and a draw had a probability of 28.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hull City win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.3%) and 2-1 (8.08%). The likeliest Derby County win was 0-1 (10.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.24%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Hull City | Draw | Derby County |
41.77% | 28.89% | 29.35% |
Both teams to score 43.87% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
37.57% | 62.43% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
17.95% | 82.05% |
Hull City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.5% | 29.5% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.48% | 65.52% |
Derby County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.22% | 37.78% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.45% | 74.55% |
Score Analysis |
Hull City | Draw | Derby County |
1-0 @ 13.6% 2-0 @ 8.3% 2-1 @ 8.08% 3-0 @ 3.38% 3-1 @ 3.29% 3-2 @ 1.6% 4-0 @ 1.03% 4-1 @ 1% Other @ 1.47% Total : 41.76% | 1-1 @ 13.24% 0-0 @ 11.14% 2-2 @ 3.94% Other @ 0.56% Total : 28.88% | 0-1 @ 10.85% 1-2 @ 6.45% 0-2 @ 5.28% 1-3 @ 2.09% 0-3 @ 1.71% 2-3 @ 1.28% Other @ 1.69% Total : 29.35% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |