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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 43.6%. A win for Derby County had a probability of 29.39% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.75%) and 2-0 (8.15%). The likeliest Derby County win was 0-1 (9.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Peterborough United would win this match.
Result | ||
Peterborough United | Draw | Derby County |
43.6% | 27% | 29.39% |
Both teams to score 49.07% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.14% | 55.86% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.02% | 76.98% |
Peterborough United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.57% | 25.42% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.75% | 60.24% |
Derby County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.81% | 34.19% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.11% | 70.88% |
Score Analysis |
Peterborough United | Draw | Derby County |
1-0 @ 11.9% 2-1 @ 8.75% 2-0 @ 8.15% 3-1 @ 3.99% 3-0 @ 3.72% 3-2 @ 2.14% 4-1 @ 1.37% 4-0 @ 1.27% Other @ 2.3% Total : 43.6% | 1-1 @ 12.77% 0-0 @ 8.69% 2-2 @ 4.69% Other @ 0.84% Total : 27% | 0-1 @ 9.33% 1-2 @ 6.86% 0-2 @ 5.01% 1-3 @ 2.45% 0-3 @ 1.79% 2-3 @ 1.68% Other @ 2.28% Total : 29.39% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |