Championship | Gameweek 45
Apr 30, 2022 at 3pm UK
Riverside Stadium
Middlesbrough3 - 1Stoke
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Preston 4-1 Middlesbrough
Saturday, May 7 at 12.30pm in Championship
Saturday, May 7 at 12.30pm in Championship
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 6 | Luton Town | 46 | 8 | 75 |
| 7 | Middlesbrough | 46 | 9 | 70 |
| 8 | Blackburn Rovers | 46 | 9 | 69 |
Last Game: Stoke 1-1 Coventry
Saturday, May 7 at 12.30pm in Championship
Saturday, May 7 at 12.30pm in Championship
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 13 | Preston North End | 46 | -4 | 64 |
| 14 | Stoke City | 46 | 5 | 62 |
| 15 | Swansea City | 46 | -10 | 61 |
We said: Middlesbrough 1-0 Stoke City
This has all the makings of a tense match for Boro, who will be wary of a Stoke side who are performing well away from home. However, Boro have generally been the masters of grinding out victories at the Riverside Stadium this season, and we are predicting another low-scoring win here. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 48.51%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Stoke City had a probability of 25.35%.
The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.23%) and 2-1 (9.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.37%), while for a Stoke City win it was 0-1 (8.33%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Middlesbrough would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Middlesbrough | Draw | Stoke City |
| 48.51% | 26.13% | 25.35% |
| Both teams to score 48.79% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.15% | 54.85% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.85% | 76.15% |
| Middlesbrough Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.36% | 22.63% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 43.74% | 56.26% |
| Stoke City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.07% | 36.93% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 26.28% | 73.72% |
| Score Analysis |
Middlesbrough 48.51%
Stoke City 25.35%
Draw 26.13%
| Middlesbrough | Draw | Stoke City |
| 1-0 @ 12.41% 2-0 @ 9.23% 2-1 @ 9.19% 3-0 @ 4.57% 3-1 @ 4.55% 3-2 @ 2.27% 4-0 @ 1.7% 4-1 @ 1.69% Other @ 2.91% Total : 48.51% | 1-1 @ 12.37% 0-0 @ 8.36% 2-2 @ 4.58% Other @ 0.83% Total : 26.13% | 0-1 @ 8.33% 1-2 @ 6.16% 0-2 @ 4.15% 1-3 @ 2.05% 2-3 @ 1.52% 0-3 @ 1.38% Other @ 1.77% Total : 25.35% |
How you voted: Middlesbrough vs Stoke
Middlesbrough
60.0%Draw
25.0%Stoke City
15.0%20
Head to Head
Dec 11, 2021 3pm
Mar 13, 2021 3pm
Jun 27, 2020 3pm
Form Guide
