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Championship | Gameweek 41
Apr 9, 2022 at 3pm UK
The Hawthorns
Stoke logo

West Brom
1 - 3
Stoke

Robinson (73')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Livermore (16' og.), Brown (59'), Baker (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between West Bromwich Albion and Stoke City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Stoke 1-1 Coventry
Saturday, May 7 at 12.30pm in Championship

We said: West Bromwich Albion 2-1 Stoke City

While West Brom are currently in the habit of raising their game against the better teams, that has not been the case against the rest of the division. That said, Stoke have been disappointing on their travels for some time, and it would come as a surprise if the Baggies do not edge this contest. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Bromwich Albion win with a probability of 41.32%. A win for Stoke City had a probability of 32.06% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a West Bromwich Albion win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.65%) and 2-0 (7.39%). The likeliest Stoke City win was 0-1 (9.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood.

Result
West Bromwich AlbionDrawStoke City
41.32%26.62%32.06%
Both teams to score 51.39%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.56%53.43%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.04%74.96%
West Bromwich Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.5%25.5%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.65%60.35%
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.98%31.02%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.67%67.33%
Score Analysis
    West Bromwich Albion 41.32%
    Stoke City 32.06%
    Draw 26.61%
West Bromwich AlbionDrawStoke City
1-0 @ 10.8%
2-1 @ 8.65%
2-0 @ 7.39%
3-1 @ 3.94%
3-0 @ 3.36%
3-2 @ 2.31%
4-1 @ 1.35%
4-0 @ 1.15%
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 41.32%
1-1 @ 12.65%
0-0 @ 7.91%
2-2 @ 5.06%
Other @ 1%
Total : 26.61%
0-1 @ 9.26%
1-2 @ 7.41%
0-2 @ 5.42%
1-3 @ 2.89%
0-3 @ 2.11%
2-3 @ 1.97%
Other @ 3%
Total : 32.06%

How you voted: West Brom vs Stoke

West Bromwich Albion
76.7%
Draw
3.3%
Stoke City
20.0%
30
Head to Head
Oct 1, 2021 7.45pm
Stoke
1-0
West Brom
Powell (79')
Davies (75'), Surridge (90+5')

Livermore (51'), Johnstone (90+5')
Jan 20, 2020 8pm
West Brom
0-1
Stoke

Bartley (45')
Campbell (9')
Lindsay (28'), Allen (45'), Smith (91')
Feb 9, 2019 5.30pm
Sep 1, 2018 3pm
West Brom
2-1
Stoke
Gayle (16', 59')
Bartley (45'), Phillips (54'), Livermore (71')
Pieters (90')
Pieters (19')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds1695228121632
2Sunderland1695226121432
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd1610422191232
4Burnley168621961330
5Middlesbrough1683529191027
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom166821811726
7Watford168262524126
8Millwall166641914524
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn156451917222
10Bristol City165742020022
11Derby CountyDerby165562020020
12Stoke CityStoke165561920-120
13Norwich CityNorwich164752524119
14Swansea CitySwansea165471414019
15Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds165471826-819
16Luton TownLuton165381826-818
17Coventry CityCoventry164572223-117
18Oxford UnitedOxford Utd164571924-517
19Plymouth ArgylePlymouth164571728-1117
20Preston North EndPreston163761624-816
21Cardiff CityCardiff164481524-916
22Hull City163671621-515
23Portsmouth152671628-1212
24Queens Park RangersQPR161871326-1311


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