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Championship | Gameweek 45
Apr 26, 2025 at 12.30pm UK
Kiyan Prince Foundation Stadium
Burnley logo

QPR
0 - 5
Burnley


Edwards (50'), Colback (64'), Ashby (82'), Frey (89')
FT(HT: 0-3)
Cullen (9'), Flemming (20', 28'), Sarmiento (62', 90+2')
Mejbri (8'), Cullen (45+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Queens Park Rangers and Burnley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: QPR 1-2 Swansea
Monday, April 21 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Burnley 2-1 Sheff Utd
Monday, April 21 at 5.30pm in Championship

We said: Queens Park Rangers 0-1 Burnley

QPR have the required quality to make this a difficult match for Burnley, and we are expecting to be close in terms of the scoreline, but the visitors should be able to navigate their way to an important three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 46.16%. A win for Queens Park Rangers had a probability of 27.09% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.95%) and 0-2 (8.79%). The likeliest Queens Park Rangers win was 1-0 (8.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.63%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Burnley would win this match.

Result
Queens Park RangersDrawBurnley
27.09% (-1.257 -1.26) 26.75% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01) 46.16% (1.264 1.26)
Both teams to score 48.41% (-0.814 -0.81)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.97% (-0.641 -0.64)56.03% (0.641 0.64)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.88% (-0.524 -0.52)77.12% (0.523 0.52)
Queens Park Rangers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.89% (-1.357 -1.36)36.11% (1.356 1.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.11% (-1.41 -1.41)72.89% (1.409 1.41)
Burnley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.76% (0.33 0.33)24.24% (-0.329 -0.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.41% (0.464 0.46)58.59% (-0.465 -0.46)
Score Analysis
    Queens Park Rangers 27.09%
    Burnley 46.16%
    Draw 26.74%
Queens Park RangersDrawBurnley
1-0 @ 8.92% (-0.109 -0.11)
2-1 @ 6.44% (-0.258 -0.26)
2-0 @ 4.54% (-0.228 -0.23)
3-1 @ 2.19% (-0.174 -0.17)
3-2 @ 1.55% (-0.107 -0.11)
3-0 @ 1.54% (-0.138 -0.14)
Other @ 1.92%
Total : 27.09%
1-1 @ 12.63% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 8.75% (0.214 0.21)
2-2 @ 4.56% (-0.138 -0.14)
Other @ 0.8%
Total : 26.74%
0-1 @ 12.4% (0.42 0.42)
1-2 @ 8.95% (0.063000000000001 0.06)
0-2 @ 8.79% (0.378 0.38)
1-3 @ 4.23% (0.07 0.07)
0-3 @ 4.15% (0.216 0.22)
2-3 @ 2.16% (-0.044 -0.04)
1-4 @ 1.5% (0.039 0.04)
0-4 @ 1.47% (0.09 0.09)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 46.16%

How you voted: QPR vs Burnley

Queens Park Rangers
Draw
Burnley
Queens Park Rangers
25.0%
Draw
15.4%
Burnley
59.6%
52
Head to Head
Oct 26, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 12
Burnley
0-0
QPR
Bennie (78')
Apr 22, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 44
Burnley
1-2
QPR
Benson (76')
Field (58'), Martin (87')
Dec 11, 2022 1pm
Gameweek 22
QPR
0-3
Burnley
Berg Gudmundsson (19'), Maatsen (45+2'), Tella (71')
May 2, 2016 4.45pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CLeeds UnitedLeeds4629134953065100
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd462881063362790
4Sunderland4621131258441476
5Coventry CityCoventry46209176458669
6Bristol City461717125955468
7Blackburn RoversBlackburn46199185348566
8Millwall461812164749-266
9West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom4615191257471064
10Middlesbrough461810186456864
11Swansea CitySwansea461710195156-561
12Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds461513186069-958
13Norwich CityNorwich461415177168357
14Watford46169215361-857
15Queens Park RangersQPR461414185363-1056
16Portsmouth461412205871-1354
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd461314194965-1653
18Stoke CityStoke461215194562-1751
19Derby CountyDerby461311224856-850
20Preston North EndPreston461020164859-1150
21Hull City461213214454-1049
RLuton TownLuton461310234569-2449
RPlymouth ArgylePlymouth461113225188-3746
RCardiff CityCardiff46917204873-2544


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