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Championship | Gameweek 39
Mar 29, 2025 at 3pm UK
Bet365 Stadium
QPR logo

Stoke
3 - 1
QPR

Bae (21'), Tchamadeu (44'), Manhoef (54')
Pearson (67')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Yang (78')
Varane (43'), Colback (58'), Yang (67')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Stoke City and Queens Park Rangers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Millwall 1-0 Stoke
Saturday, March 15 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: QPR 2-2 Leeds
Saturday, March 15 at 12.30pm in Championship

We said: Stoke City 2-1 Queens Park Rangers

With no international breaks between themselves and the end of the campaign, Stoke are now staring the possibility of relegation in the face, and we are expecting a timely response from Robins's troops this weekend. QPR were impressive in parts against table-topping Leeds but have struggled massively on the road in recent times, meaning that defeat in the Potteries is likely for the visitors. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 44.91%. A win for Queens Park Rangers had a probability of 28.28% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.88%) and 2-0 (8.44%). The likeliest Queens Park Rangers win was 0-1 (9.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.68%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Stoke City would win this match.

Result
Stoke CityDrawQueens Park Rangers
44.91% (-0.095999999999997 -0.1) 26.81% (0.027000000000001 0.03) 28.28% (0.068999999999999 0.07)
Both teams to score 49.01% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.36% (-0.073 -0.07)55.64% (0.071999999999996 0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.2% (-0.061 -0.06)76.8% (0.058999999999997 0.06)
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.32% (-0.081000000000003 -0.08)24.67% (0.078999999999997 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.8% (-0.111 -0.11)59.2% (0.111 0.11)
Queens Park Rangers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.07% (0.015000000000001 0.02)34.93% (-0.017000000000003 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.33% (0.015000000000001 0.02)71.67% (-0.01700000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Stoke City 44.9%
    Queens Park Rangers 28.28%
    Draw 26.81%
Stoke CityDrawQueens Park Rangers
1-0 @ 12.06% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.88% (-0.011999999999999 -0.01)
2-0 @ 8.44% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-1 @ 4.14% (-0.015 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.94% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.18% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.45% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.38% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 44.9%
1-1 @ 12.68% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 8.62% (0.023999999999999 0.02)
2-2 @ 4.67% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.84%
Total : 26.81%
0-1 @ 9.07% (0.029 0.03)
1-2 @ 6.67% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.77% (0.018 0.02)
1-3 @ 2.34% (0.004 0)
0-3 @ 1.67% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.64% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.13%
Total : 28.28%

How you voted: Stoke vs QPR

Stoke City
Draw
Queens Park Rangers
Stoke City
62.2%
Draw
15.6%
Queens Park Rangers
22.2%
45
Head to Head
Nov 23, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 16
QPR
1-1
Stoke
Gibson (62' og.)
Field (22'), Cifuentes (23'), Fox (80'), Ashby (90+4')
Cannon (24')
Johansson (79'), Thompson (86')
Feb 14, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 32
Stoke
1-0
QPR
Burger (45')

Hayden (64')
Nov 28, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 18
QPR
4-2
Stoke
Dykes (11' pen., 79'), Pearson (89' og.), Willock (90+4')
Colback (86'), Begovic (90+6')
Mmaee (45'), Burger (59')
Stevens (10'), Burger (19'), Campbell (56'), Mmaee (56'), Gooch (74'), Johnson (81')
Stevens (53')
Apr 29, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 45
Stoke
0-1
QPR
Adomah (48')
Sep 17, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 11
QPR
0-0
Stoke
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds442713489296094
2Burnley442616261154694
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd442771060352586
4Sunderland4421131058411776
5Bristol City441716115749867
6Coventry CityCoventry44199166257566
7Middlesbrough441891764541063
8Millwall441712154546-163
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn44188185046462
10West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom441418125244860
11Swansea CitySwansea44179184852-460
12Watford44168205158-756
13Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds441511185867-956
14Norwich CityNorwich441314176766153
15Queens Park RangersQPR441314175258-653
16Portsmouth441410205669-1352
17Stoke CityStoke441214184560-1550
18Preston North EndPreston441019154555-1049
19Oxford UnitedOxford Utd441213194462-1849
20Hull City441212204352-948
21Derby CountyDerby441210224756-946
22Luton TownLuton441210224164-2346
23Cardiff CityCardiff44916194669-2343
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth441013214885-3743


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