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Championship | Gameweek 44
Apr 22, 2023 at 3pm UK
Turf Moor
QPR logo

Burnley
1 - 2
QPR

Benson (76')
Harwood-Bellis (63'), Twine (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Field (58'), Martin (87')
Armstrong (80'), Laird (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Burnley and Queens Park Rangers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Rotherham 2-2 Burnley
Tuesday, April 18 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: QPR 1-1 Norwich
Wednesday, April 19 at 7.45pm in Championship

We said: Burnley 3-0 Queens Park Rangers

This is the worst fixture possible for QPR at this time and we expect it to end in defeat. Burnley want to wrap up the second-tier crown in style, something we feel will be achieved with minimal fuss. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 72.09%. A draw had a probability of 17% and a win for Queens Park Rangers had a probability of 10.93%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.08%) and 2-1 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.04%), while for a Queens Park Rangers win it was 0-1 (3.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood.

Result
BurnleyDrawQueens Park Rangers
72.09% (0.037999999999997 0.04) 16.98% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02) 10.93% (-0.02 -0.02)
Both teams to score 49.72% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.95% (0.021999999999998 0.02)39.05% (-0.023000000000003 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.63% (0.024000000000001 0.02)61.37% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
Burnley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.48% (0.013999999999996 0.01)9.51% (-0.014000000000001 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
68.1% (0.034000000000006 0.03)31.89% (-0.035 -0.04)
Queens Park Rangers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.95% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)45.05% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.03% (-0.017000000000003 -0.02)80.97% (0.016999999999996 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Burnley 72.08%
    Queens Park Rangers 10.93%
    Draw 16.98%
BurnleyDrawQueens Park Rangers
2-0 @ 11.85%
1-0 @ 10.08%
2-1 @ 9.46% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
3-0 @ 9.3% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-1 @ 7.42% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-0 @ 5.47% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
4-1 @ 4.36% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-2 @ 2.96% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
5-0 @ 2.57% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
5-1 @ 2.05% (0.004 0)
4-2 @ 1.74% (0.0010000000000001 0)
6-0 @ 1.01% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 3.82%
Total : 72.08%
1-1 @ 8.04% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
0-0 @ 4.29% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
2-2 @ 3.77% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 0.89%
Total : 16.98%
0-1 @ 3.42% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-2 @ 3.21% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
0-2 @ 1.36% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 1% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 1.94%
Total : 10.93%

How you voted: Burnley vs QPR

Burnley
92.0%
Draw
0.0%
Queens Park Rangers
8.0%
25
Head to Head
Dec 11, 2022 1pm
gameweek 22
QPR
0-3
Burnley
Berg Gudmundsson (19'), Maatsen (45+2'), Tella (71')
Cork (52')
May 2, 2016 4.45pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd21145230111945
2Leeds UnitedLeeds21126337152242
3Burnley2111822681841
4Sunderland21117332171540
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2011452517837
6Middlesbrough21104735251034
7Watford2010462926334
8West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom2171132416832
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds218582630-429
10Swansea CitySwansea217682322127
11Bristol City216962626027
12Norwich CityNorwich216873632426
13Millwall206772018225
14Derby CountyDerby216692626024
15Coventry CityCoventry216692730-324
16Preston North EndPreston2141162127-623
17Stoke CityStoke215792328-522
18Queens Park RangersQPR2141072127-622
19Luton TownLuton2164112337-1422
20Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2046102133-1218
21Cardiff CityCardiff2046101932-1318
22Portsmouth193882134-1317
23Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2045111942-2317
24Hull City2137111930-1116


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