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Championship | Gameweek 44
Apr 22, 2023 at 3pm UK
Turf Moor
QPR logo

Burnley
1 - 2
QPR

Benson (76')
Harwood-Bellis (63'), Twine (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Field (58'), Martin (87')
Armstrong (80'), Laird (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Burnley and Queens Park Rangers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Rotherham 2-2 Burnley
Tuesday, April 18 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: QPR 1-1 Norwich
Wednesday, April 19 at 7.45pm in Championship

We said: Burnley 3-0 Queens Park Rangers

This is the worst fixture possible for QPR at this time and we expect it to end in defeat. Burnley want to wrap up the second-tier crown in style, something we feel will be achieved with minimal fuss. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 72.09%. A draw had a probability of 17% and a win for Queens Park Rangers had a probability of 10.93%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.08%) and 2-1 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.04%), while for a Queens Park Rangers win it was 0-1 (3.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood.

Result
BurnleyDrawQueens Park Rangers
72.09% (0.037999999999997 0.04) 16.98% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02) 10.93% (-0.02 -0.02)
Both teams to score 49.72% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.95% (0.021999999999998 0.02)39.05% (-0.023000000000003 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.63% (0.024000000000001 0.02)61.37% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
Burnley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.48% (0.013999999999996 0.01)9.51% (-0.014000000000001 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
68.1% (0.034000000000006 0.03)31.89% (-0.035 -0.04)
Queens Park Rangers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.95% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)45.05% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.03% (-0.017000000000003 -0.02)80.97% (0.016999999999996 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Burnley 72.08%
    Queens Park Rangers 10.93%
    Draw 16.98%
BurnleyDrawQueens Park Rangers
2-0 @ 11.85%
1-0 @ 10.08%
2-1 @ 9.46% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
3-0 @ 9.3% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-1 @ 7.42% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-0 @ 5.47% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
4-1 @ 4.36% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-2 @ 2.96% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
5-0 @ 2.57% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
5-1 @ 2.05% (0.004 0)
4-2 @ 1.74% (0.0010000000000001 0)
6-0 @ 1.01% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 3.82%
Total : 72.08%
1-1 @ 8.04% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
0-0 @ 4.29% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
2-2 @ 3.77% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 0.89%
Total : 16.98%
0-1 @ 3.42% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-2 @ 3.21% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
0-2 @ 1.36% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 1% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 1.94%
Total : 10.93%

How you voted: Burnley vs QPR

Burnley
92.0%
Draw
0.0%
Queens Park Rangers
8.0%
25
Head to Head
Dec 11, 2022 1pm
gameweek 22
QPR
0-3
Burnley
Berg Gudmundsson (19'), Maatsen (45+2'), Tella (71')
Cork (52')
May 2, 2016 4.45pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom7511125716
2Sunderland7502146815
3Blackburn RoversBlackburn7430146815
4Burnley7421134914
5Leeds UnitedLeeds7421124814
6Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd743093613
7Watford74121210213
8Middlesbrough732285311
9Norwich CityNorwich7322119211
10Swansea CitySwansea631274310
11Oxford UnitedOxford Utd7313108210
12Hull City72329819
13Derby CountyDerby7304101009
14Millwall7223121028
15Plymouth ArgylePlymouth7223811-38
16Bristol City6222812-48
17Queens Park RangersQPR7142811-37
18Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds7214914-57
19Luton TownLuton7214611-57
20Stoke CityStoke7205411-76
21Coventry CityCoventry7124611-55
22Preston North EndPreston7124412-85
23Portsmouth7043713-64
24Cardiff CityCardiff7016217-151


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