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Championship | Gameweek 44
Apr 22, 2023 at 3pm UK
Turf Moor
QPR logo

Burnley
1 - 2
QPR

Benson (76')
Harwood-Bellis (63'), Twine (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Field (58'), Martin (87')
Armstrong (80'), Laird (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Burnley and Queens Park Rangers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Rotherham 2-2 Burnley
Tuesday, April 18 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: QPR 1-1 Norwich
Wednesday, April 19 at 7.45pm in Championship

We said: Burnley 3-0 Queens Park Rangers

This is the worst fixture possible for QPR at this time and we expect it to end in defeat. Burnley want to wrap up the second-tier crown in style, something we feel will be achieved with minimal fuss. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 72.09%. A draw had a probability of 17% and a win for Queens Park Rangers had a probability of 10.93%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.08%) and 2-1 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.04%), while for a Queens Park Rangers win it was 0-1 (3.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood.

Result
BurnleyDrawQueens Park Rangers
72.09% (0.037999999999997 0.04) 16.98% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02) 10.93% (-0.02 -0.02)
Both teams to score 49.72% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.95% (0.021999999999998 0.02)39.05% (-0.023000000000003 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.63% (0.024000000000001 0.02)61.37% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
Burnley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.48% (0.013999999999996 0.01)9.51% (-0.014000000000001 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
68.1% (0.034000000000006 0.03)31.89% (-0.035 -0.04)
Queens Park Rangers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.95% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)45.05% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.03% (-0.017000000000003 -0.02)80.97% (0.016999999999996 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Burnley 72.08%
    Queens Park Rangers 10.93%
    Draw 16.98%
BurnleyDrawQueens Park Rangers
2-0 @ 11.85%
1-0 @ 10.08%
2-1 @ 9.46% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
3-0 @ 9.3% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-1 @ 7.42% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-0 @ 5.47% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
4-1 @ 4.36% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-2 @ 2.96% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
5-0 @ 2.57% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
5-1 @ 2.05% (0.004 0)
4-2 @ 1.74% (0.0010000000000001 0)
6-0 @ 1.01% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 3.82%
Total : 72.08%
1-1 @ 8.04% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
0-0 @ 4.29% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
2-2 @ 3.77% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 0.89%
Total : 16.98%
0-1 @ 3.42% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-2 @ 3.21% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
0-2 @ 1.36% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 1% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 1.94%
Total : 10.93%

How you voted: Burnley vs QPR

Burnley
92.0%
Draw
0.0%
Queens Park Rangers
8.0%
25
Head to Head
Dec 11, 2022 1pm
gameweek 22
QPR
0-3
Burnley
Berg Gudmundsson (19'), Maatsen (45+2'), Tella (71')
Cork (52')
May 2, 2016 4.45pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland1594225111431
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd1510321971231
3Leeds UnitedLeeds158522491529
4Burnley157621861227
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom15672169725
6Watford158162322125
7Middlesbrough157352317624
8Millwall156541813523
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn156451917222
10Bristol City155732019122
11Swansea CitySwansea155461110119
12Derby CountyDerby155461919019
13Stoke CityStoke155461819-119
14Norwich CityNorwich154652322118
15Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds155371725-818
16Oxford UnitedOxford Utd154561718-117
17Coventry CityCoventry154472021-116
18Plymouth ArgylePlymouth154471526-1116
19Hull City153661620-415
20Preston North EndPreston153661523-815
21Luton TownLuton154381726-915
22Cardiff CityCardiff154381423-915
23Portsmouth152671628-1212
24Queens Park RangersQPR151771225-1310


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