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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 55.11%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for Birmingham City had a probability of 19.98%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.98%) and 2-1 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.71%), while for a Birmingham City win it was 0-1 (7.28%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 11% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stoke City would win this match.
Result | ||
Stoke City | Draw | Birmingham City |
55.11% | 24.91% | 19.98% |
Both teams to score 46.08% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.78% | 55.22% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.55% | 76.45% |
Stoke City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80% | 20% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.81% | 52.19% |
Birmingham City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
57.6% | 42.4% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.22% | 78.78% |
Score Analysis |
Stoke City | Draw | Birmingham City |
1-0 @ 13.64% 2-0 @ 10.98% 2-1 @ 9.42% 3-0 @ 5.89% 3-1 @ 5.06% 4-0 @ 2.37% 3-2 @ 2.17% 4-1 @ 2.03% Other @ 3.54% Total : 55.1% | 1-1 @ 11.71% 0-0 @ 8.48% 2-2 @ 4.04% Other @ 0.68% Total : 24.91% | 0-1 @ 7.28% 1-2 @ 5.02% 0-2 @ 3.12% 1-3 @ 1.44% 2-3 @ 1.16% Other @ 1.96% Total : 19.98% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sunderland | 16 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 32 |
2 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 21 | 9 | 12 | 32 |
3 | Burnley | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 19 | 6 | 13 | 30 |
4 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 24 | 9 | 15 | 29 |
5 | Middlesbrough | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 29 | 19 | 10 | 27 |
6 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 16 | 6 | 8 | 2 | 18 | 11 | 7 | 26 |
7 | Watford | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 25 | 24 | 1 | 26 |
8 | Millwall | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 24 |
9 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 19 | 17 | 2 | 22 |
10 | Bristol City | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 22 |
11 | Derby CountyDerby | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 20 |
12 | Stoke CityStoke | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 20 |
13 | Norwich CityNorwich | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 25 | 24 | 1 | 19 |
14 | Swansea CitySwansea | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 19 |
15 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 18 | 26 | -8 | 19 |
16 | Luton TownLuton | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 18 | 26 | -8 | 18 |
17 | Coventry CityCoventry | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 23 | -1 | 17 |
18 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 19 | 24 | -5 | 17 |
19 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 17 |
20 | Preston North EndPreston | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 16 |
21 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 15 | 24 | -9 | 16 |
22 | Hull City | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 21 | -5 | 15 |
23 | Portsmouth | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 12 |
24 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 16 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 13 | 26 | -13 | 11 |
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