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Chelsea logo
Premier League | Gameweek 17
Dec 16, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
Stamford Bridge
Everton logo

Chelsea
1 - 1
Everton

Mount (70')
Loftus-Cheek (45'), Jorginho (59')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Branthwaite (74')
Holgate (21'), Gomes (64'), Dobbin (77')

Preview: Chelsea vs. Everton - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Premier League clash between Chelsea and Everton, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Everton boss Rafael Benitez returns to Stamford Bridge on Thursday for the Toffees' Premier League encounter with Chelsea.

Thomas Tuchel's men saw off Leeds United 3-2 at the weekend, while the Merseyside outfit suffered a disappointing 3-1 defeat to Crystal Palace.


Match preview

A disappointed Thomas Tuchel during Chelsea's defeat to West Ham United on December 4, 2021.© Reuters

A third consecutive Premier League stalemate at Stamford Bridge appeared to be on the cards for Chelsea during the visit of Leeds, as Raphinha, Joe Gelhardt, Jorginho and Mason Mount all struck in a thrilling encounter in the English capital.

However, in the dying embers of the encounter, Chelsea centre-back Antonio Rudiger won his second penalty of the afternoon, which Jorginho converted to hand the Blues a dramatic 3-2 win before tensions boiled over after the final whistle.

With Liverpool and Manchester City also prevailing by one-goal margins at the weekend, the story at the top of the table is very much the same, with the third-placed Blues one point behind Jurgen Klopp's men and two adrift of the reigning champions.

Conceding twice to the Whites meant that Chelsea - who have so often prided themselves on defensive solidity under Tuchel - have now failed to keep a clean sheet in any of their last four Premier League games, which may be a slight area of concern for the Champions League-winning coach.

However, the Blues have notched up 15 goals in their last five Premier League home games - an average of three per match - and Tuchel's men are the only side in the division to have hit 20 home goals for the season so far.

Everton's Richarlison with manager Rafael Benitez after being substituted, December 12, 2021© Reuters

Six days on from the delirium of beating a lacklustre Arsenal side, Everton were faced with a much sterner test in the form of Crystal Palace, and the Toffees were no match for this London side as they slumped to a 3-1 loss at Selhurst Park.

Conor Gallagher stole the show with two goals while James Tomkins also got in on the act, and Salomon Rondon's effort proved to be nothing more than a consolation for the Toffees as the pressure weighs heavier on Rafael Benitez's shoulders.

Everton have now lost seven of their last nine Premier League matches - including each of their last four away from home - and they continue to head in the wrong direction after slipping to 14th in the table - seven points above 18th-placed Burnley having played a game more.

The Toffees failed to prove that the win over Arsenal was not a fluke, and Benitez is no stranger to losing five league games away from home having overseen such a miserable streak during his time with Liverpool in 2006.

Everton have rather impressively managed to win each of their last three Premier League clashes with Chelsea at Goodison Park, but they have lost four of their last five at Stamford Bridge and are without a goal on the Blues' turf in the league since January 2016.

Chelsea Premier League form:
  • D
  • W
  • D
  • W
  • L
  • W

Chelsea form (all competitions):
  • W
  • D
  • W
  • L
  • D
  • W

Everton Premier League form:
  • D
  • L
  • L
  • L
  • W
  • L



Team News

N'Golo Kante warms up for Chelsea on November 23, 2021© Reuters

Chelsea remain without long-term injury victim Ben Chilwell and the COVID-positive Mateo Kovacic, while it remains to be seen if Trevoh Chalobah and N'Golo Kante will be fit enough to play a part.

Kante is due to rejoin team training before the game but will likely only be considered for a place on the bench, with Tuchel potentially saving the bulk of his changes for the EFL Cup clash with Brentford on December 22.

Romelu Lukaku - facing his former club - and Andreas Christensen will be eyeing first-team returns here regardless, with Thiago Silva potentially making way as Tuchel aims to avoid overloading the 37-year-old.

As for Everton, Richarlison had to be taken off in the defeat to Palace after tweaking his calf, while Allan did not take part after sustaining a minor adductor problem.

The Toffees also remain without Dominic Calvert-Lewin, Tom Davies and Yerry Mina, and Lucas Digne is also a doubt amid reports of an internal rift with Benitez.

Rondon will likely lead the line at Stamford Bridge if Richarlison is not given the green light to feature, while Anthony Gordon will hope to force his way back into the team.

Chelsea possible starting lineup:
Mendy; Azpilicueta, Rudiger, Christensen; James, Jorginho, Loftus-Cheek, Alonso; Mount, Pulisic; Lukaku

Everton possible starting lineup:
Pickford; Coleman, Holgate, Keane, Godfrey; Townsend, Doucoure, Allan, Gordon; Gray; Rondon


SM words green background

We say: Chelsea 2-0 Everton

Chelsea have not been shutting up shop in the way that Tuchel would have liked in recent weeks, but a depleted Everton attack are unlikely to experience much joy here.

The hosts will likely turn to some of their attacking options from the bench - and they have them in abundance - so we can only predict a comfortable Blues triumph.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting under 3.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Under 3.5:data



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 77.56%. A draw had a probability of 14.7% and a win for Everton had a probability of 7.74%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.05%) and 1-0 (10.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.99%), while for a Everton win it was 0-1 (2.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.


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Game History

How you voted: Chelsea vs Everton

Chelsea
87.6%
Draw
6.3%
Everton
6.0%
331
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Chelsea midfielder Jorginho pictured on August 22, 2021
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10Tottenham HotspurSpurs1151523131016
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12Bournemouth114341515015
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd114341212015
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15Leicester CityLeicester112451421-710
16Everton112451017-710
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18Crystal Palace11146815-77
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves111371627-116
20Southampton11119721-144


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