Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guangzhou Evergrande win with a probability of 58.51%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Hebei China Fortune had a probability of 18.22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Guangzhou Evergrande win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.2%) and 2-1 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.03%), while for a Hebei China Fortune win it was 0-1 (6.27%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Guangzhou Evergrande would win this match.