Evergrande

2 - 1

Henan Jianye

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guangzhou Evergrande win with a probability of 61.08%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Henan Jianye had a probability of 17.62%.

The most likely scoreline for a Guangzhou Evergrande win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.4%) and 2-1 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.07%), while for a Henan Jianye win it was 0-1 (5.1%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Guangzhou Evergrande would win this match.