Sh. Shenhua

1 - 1

Beijing Guoan

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Beijing Guoan win with a probability of 42.92%. A win for Shanghai Shenhua had a probability of 30.69% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Beijing Guoan win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.83%) and 0-2 (7.69%). The likeliest Shanghai Shenhua win was 1-0 (8.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.