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Chinese Super League | Gameweek 12
Jun 8, 2023 at 12.35pm UK
Changchun's People Stadium
Shenzhen FC

Changchun
4 - 1
Shenzhen

Jinxian (10'), Leonardo (34' pen.), Long (41'), Serginho (70')
Okore (51')
FT(HT: 3-0)
Shahsat (48' pen.)
Ning (55')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Chinese Super League clash between Changchun Yatai and Shenzhen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Changchun Yatai

All competitions
Last Game: Beijing Guoan 4-3 Changchun
Friday, June 2 at 12.35pm in Chinese Super League

Shenzhen

All competitions
Last Game: Zhejiang 3-0 Shenzhen
Friday, June 2 at 12.35pm in Chinese Super League

We said: Changchun Yatai 3-2 Shenzhen

 The two worst defensive teams in the Chinese Super League competing against each other should lead to a game full of goals that will be ideal for any neutral fans. Both teams head into this one on the back of a defeat, but considering Shenzhen's poor away record it should be Changchun Yatai that takes all three points here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Changchun Yatai win with a probability of 58.2%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Shenzhen had a probability of 17.87%.

The most likely scoreline for a Changchun Yatai win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.66%) and 2-1 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.24%), while for a Shenzhen win it was 0-1 (6.66%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Changchun Yatai would win this match.

Result
Changchun YataiDrawShenzhen
58.2% (0.779 0.78) 23.94% (-0.5 -0.5) 17.87% (-0.276 -0.28)
Both teams to score 45.43% (0.892 0.89)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.73% (1.454 1.45)54.27% (-1.452 -1.45)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.34% (1.201 1.2)75.66% (-1.197 -1.2)
Changchun Yatai Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.55% (0.846 0.85)18.45% (-0.845 -0.84)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.36% (1.409 1.41)49.64% (-1.406 -1.41)
Shenzhen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.71% (0.522 0.52)44.28% (-0.519 -0.52)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.64% (0.421 0.42)80.35% (-0.419 -0.42)
Score Analysis
    Changchun Yatai 58.19%
    Shenzhen 17.87%
    Draw 23.93%
Changchun YataiDrawShenzhen
1-0 @ 13.81% (-0.41 -0.41)
2-0 @ 11.66% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
2-1 @ 9.51% (0.111 0.11)
3-0 @ 6.57% (0.156 0.16)
3-1 @ 5.35% (0.202 0.2)
4-0 @ 2.78% (0.138 0.14)
4-1 @ 2.26% (0.143 0.14)
3-2 @ 2.18% (0.113 0.11)
5-0 @ 0.94% (0.071 0.07)
4-2 @ 0.92% (0.07 0.07)
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 58.19%
1-1 @ 11.24% (-0.18 -0.18)
0-0 @ 8.17% (-0.474 -0.47)
2-2 @ 3.87% (0.1 0.1)
Other @ 0.65%
Total : 23.93%
0-1 @ 6.66% (-0.285 -0.29)
1-2 @ 4.58% (-0.0029999999999992 -0)
0-2 @ 2.71% (-0.075 -0.08)
1-3 @ 1.24% (0.017 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.05% (0.042 0.04)
Other @ 1.62%
Total : 17.87%

Head to Head
Dec 10, 2022 11am
gameweek 30
Shenzhen
0-2
Changchun
Long (3', 11')
Sep 30, 2022 10.30am
gameweek 18
Changchun
1-0
Shenzhen
Long (4')
Dec 29, 2021 12pm
gameweek 20
Shenzhen
0-1
Changchun

Yongpo (79')
Jie (70')
Jie (54'), Mao (85')
Dec 16, 2021 12pm
gameweek 16
Changchun
1-1
Shenzhen
Negrao (6')
Li (41')
Quintero (77')
Dalun (43'), Dai (82')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Shanghai PortShanghai Port30253296306678
2Shanghai ShenhuaSh. Shenhua30245173205377
3Chengdu RongchengChengdu30185765313459
4Beijing GuoanBeijing Guoan30168665353056
5Shandong TaishanShandong3013984940948
6Tianjin Jinmen TigerTianjin Jinmen30126124447-342
7Zhejiang ProfessionalZhejiang30115145560-538
8HenanHenan3099123439-536
9Changchun YataiChangchun3088144658-1232
10Qingdao Youth Island3088144158-1732
11Wuhan Three TownsWuhan TT3087153144-1331
12Cangzhou Mighty LionsCangzhou3078153357-2429
13Sichuan JiuniuSichuan3078152955-2629
14Qingdao Hainiu3085172855-2729
15Meizhou Hakka3069152955-2627
16Nantong Zhiyun3057183266-3422
> Chinese Super League Full Table


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