Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Changchun Yatai win with a probability of 42.41%. A win for Meizhou Hakka had a probability of 31.02% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Changchun Yatai win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.75%) and 2-0 (7.64%). The likeliest Meizhou Hakka win was 0-1 (9.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.62%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood.

Result
Changchun Yatai	Draw	Meizhou Hakka
42.41% ( -0.1)	26.58% ( 0.18)	31.02% ( -0.08)

Both teams to score 51.13% (

-0.59)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.42% (

-0.74)

53.59% (

0.75)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.91% (

-0.63)

75.09% (

0.63)

Changchun Yatai Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75% (

-0.38)

25.01% (

0.38)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.33% (

-0.53)

59.67% (

0.54)

Meizhou Hakka Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.18% (

-0.43)

31.82% (

0.44)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.75% (

-0.5)

68.26% (

0.51)

Score Analysis

Changchun Yatai 42.4%

Meizhou Hakka 31.02%

Draw 26.57%

Changchun Yatai	Draw	Meizhou Hakka
1-0 @ 11.02% ( 0.2) 2-1 @ 8.75% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 7.64% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 4.04% ( -0.07) 3-0 @ 3.53% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.32% ( -0.07) 4-1 @ 1.4% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 1.22% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.47% Total : 42.4%	1-1 @ 12.62% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 7.96% ( 0.23) 2-2 @ 5.01% ( -0.09) Other @ 0.98% Total : 26.57%	0-1 @ 9.11% ( 0.16) 1-2 @ 7.23% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 5.22% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 2.76% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 1.99% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.91% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.8% Total : 31.02%