Shenzhen

1 - 3

Sh. Shenhua

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shanghai Shenhua win with a probability of 57.69%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Shenzhen had a probability of 18.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shanghai Shenhua win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.02%) and 1-2 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.15%), while for a Shenzhen win it was 1-0 (6.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shanghai Shenhua would win this match.