Chinese Super League | Gameweek 11

May 10, 2024 at 12.35pm UK

Dalian University Stadium

Chengdu
4 - 2
Henan

Gurfinkel (5'), Chow (39'), Shihao (45+2'), Tang (90+5')
Yang (41'), Ruibao (45+4')

FT(HT: 3-2)

Nazario (21'), Covic (38')
Zichang (11'), Liu (45+4'), Nazario (56'), Zhao (90+1'), Boyuan (90+2')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the Chinese Super League clash between Chengdu Rongcheng and Henan.

Form, Standings, Stats

Chengdu Rongcheng

All competitions

Last Game: Beijing Guoan 2-1 Chengdu
Sunday, May 5 at 12.35pm in Chinese Super League

Goals
for

Henan

All competitions

Last Game: Henan 1-2 Tianjin Jinmen
Saturday, May 4 at 1pm in Chinese Super League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chengdu Rongcheng win with a probability of 65.96%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for Henan had a probability of 14.59%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chengdu Rongcheng win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.23%) and 2-1 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.19%), while for a Henan win it was 0-1 (4.28%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chengdu Rongcheng would win this match.

Result
Chengdu Rongcheng	Draw	Henan
65.96% ( -0.15)	19.45% ( 0.05)	14.59% ( 0.1)

Both teams to score 52.3% (

0.12)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.62% (

0.01)

41.37% (

-0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.22% (

0.01)

63.77% (

-0.02)

Chengdu Rongcheng Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.29% (

-0.04)

11.71% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

63.18% (

-0.08)

36.82% (

0.08)

Henan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.24% (

0.16)

40.75% (

-0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.66% (

0.14)

77.34% (

-0.14)

Score Analysis

Chengdu Rongcheng 65.95%

Henan 14.59%

Draw 19.45%

Chengdu Rongcheng	Draw	Henan
2-0 @ 10.97% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 10.23% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.85% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 7.85% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 7.04% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 4.21% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 3.78% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 3.16% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 1.81% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.7% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.62% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.74% Total : 65.95%	1-1 @ 9.19% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 4.77% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.42% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 0.95% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.12% Total : 19.45%	0-1 @ 4.28% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 4.12% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 1.92% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.32% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 1.23% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.71% Total : 14.59%