Beijing Guoan

2 - 1

Chengdu

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Beijing Guoan win with a probability of 38.72%. A win for Chengdu Rongcheng had a probability of 35.8% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Beijing Guoan win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.5%) and 2-0 (6.31%). The likeliest Chengdu Rongcheng win was 0-1 (8.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Beijing Guoan would win this match.