Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jiangsu Suning win with a probability of 55.82%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Shanghai Shenhua had a probability of 21.65%.
The most likely scoreline for a Jiangsu Suning win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.83%) and 2-0 (9.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.58%), while for a Shanghai Shenhua win it was 1-2 (5.7%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.