Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shijiazhuang Ever Bright win with a probability of 38.34%. A win for Qingdao Hainiu had a probability of 36.74% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shijiazhuang Ever Bright win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.23%) and 0-2 (5.98%). The likeliest Qingdao Hainiu win was 2-1 (8.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.67%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shijiazhuang Ever Bright would win this match.
