Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tianjin Jinmen Tiger win with a probability of 46.02%. A win for Cangzhou Mighty Lions had a probability of 28.65% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tianjin Jinmen Tiger win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.24%) and 0-2 (7.99%). The likeliest Cangzhou Mighty Lions win was 1-0 (7.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.03%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tianjin Jinmen Tiger would win this match.