Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tianjin Jinmen Tiger win with a probability of 42.91%. A win for Cangzhou Mighty Lions had a probability of 29.75% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tianjin Jinmen Tiger win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.62%) and 2-0 (8.09%). The likeliest Cangzhou Mighty Lions win was 0-1 (9.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Tianjin Jinmen Tiger in this match.
