Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tianjin Tianhai win with a probability of 46.68%. A win for Henan Jianye had a probability of 29.2% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tianjin Tianhai win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.9%) and 2-0 (7.39%). The likeliest Henan Jianye win was 1-2 (7.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.