Copa America

Copa America | Group Stage

Jun 29, 2021 at 1am UK

Uruguay
1 - 0
Paraguay

Cavani (21' pen.)

FT(HT: 1-0)

Alderete (43'), Alonso (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Copa America clash between Uruguay and Paraguay, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole looks at how Paraguay could line up in their Copa America group match against Uruguay.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Uruguay win with a probability of 50.97%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Paraguay had a probability of 23.06%.

The most likely scoreline for a Uruguay win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10%) and 2-1 (9.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.22%), while for a Paraguay win it was 0-1 (8.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Uruguay in this match.

Result
Uruguay	Draw	Paraguay
50.97%	25.96%	23.06%

Both teams to score 47.04%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44%

56%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.91%

77.09%

Uruguay Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.97%

22.03%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.64%

55.36%

Paraguay Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.33%

39.67%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.65%

76.35%

Score Analysis

Uruguay 50.97%

Paraguay 23.06%

Draw 25.96%

Uruguay	Draw	Paraguay
1-0 @ 13.22% 2-0 @ 10% 2-1 @ 9.25% 3-0 @ 5.04% 3-1 @ 4.66% 3-2 @ 2.16% 4-0 @ 1.91% 4-1 @ 1.76% Other @ 2.98% Total : 50.97%	1-1 @ 12.22% 0-0 @ 8.74% 2-2 @ 4.27% Other @ 0.73% Total : 25.96%	0-1 @ 8.08% 1-2 @ 5.65% 0-2 @ 3.74% 1-3 @ 1.74% 2-3 @ 1.32% 0-3 @ 1.15% Other @ 1.39% Total : 23.06%