Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eibar win with a probability of 68.63%. A draw had a probability of 19.2% and a win for Lorca Deportiva had a probability of 12.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Eibar win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (12.09%) and 1-2 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.11%), while for a Lorca Deportiva win it was 1-0 (4.33%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Eibar would win this match.

Result
Lorca Deportiva	Draw	Eibar
12.2% ( -0.12)	19.17% ( 0.01)	68.63% ( 0.11)

Both teams to score 46.45% (

-0.4)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.37% (

-0.35)

45.63% (

0.34)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.05% (

-0.33)

67.95% (

0.33)

Lorca Deportiva Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

52.91% (

-0.42)

47.09% (

0.42)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

17.45% (

-0.32)

82.55% (

0.31)

Eibar Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.78% (

-0.07)

12.21% (

0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

62.1% (

-0.15)

37.89% (

0.15)

Score Analysis

Lorca Deportiva 12.2%

Eibar 68.63%

Draw 19.17%

Lorca Deportiva	Draw	Eibar
1-0 @ 4.33% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 3.43% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 1.63% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 0.91% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.9% Total : 12.2%	1-1 @ 9.11% ( 0) 0-0 @ 5.75% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 3.61% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.7% Total : 19.17%	0-2 @ 12.71% ( 0.12) 0-1 @ 12.09% ( 0.15) 1-2 @ 9.58% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 8.91% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 6.71% ( -0.04) 0-4 @ 4.68% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 3.53% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 2.53% ( -0.04) 0-5 @ 1.97% ( 0) 1-5 @ 1.48% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 1.33% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.11% Total : 68.63%