Copa del Rey | Second Round
Dec 21, 2022 at 6pm UK
Estadio Romano
Merida0 - 1Alaves
Coverage of the Copa del Rey Second Round clash between Merida AD and Alaves.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Malaga 1-0 Alaves
Sunday, December 18 at 8pm in Segunda Division
Sunday, December 18 at 8pm in Segunda Division
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alaves win with a probability of 61.65%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Merida AD had a probability of 15.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alaves win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.75%) and 1-2 (9.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.72%), while for a Merida AD win it was 1-0 (6.13%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 14.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Alaves in this match.
| Result | ||
| Merida AD | Draw | Alaves |
| 15.3% | 23.04% | 61.65% |
| Both teams to score 43% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.21% | 54.79% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.9% | 76.09% |
| Merida AD Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 52.05% | 47.95% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 16.81% | 83.19% |
| Alaves Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.6% | 17.39% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 52.18% | 47.81% |
| Score Analysis |
Merida AD 15.3%
Alaves 61.64%
Draw 23.04%
| Merida AD | Draw | Alaves |
| 1-0 @ 6.13% 2-1 @ 3.94% 2-0 @ 2.25% 3-1 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.01% Total : 15.3% | 1-1 @ 10.72% 0-0 @ 8.34% 2-2 @ 3.45% Other @ 0.53% Total : 23.04% | 0-1 @ 14.58% 0-2 @ 12.75% 1-2 @ 9.38% 0-3 @ 7.44% 1-3 @ 5.47% 0-4 @ 3.25% 1-4 @ 2.39% 2-3 @ 2.01% 0-5 @ 1.14% Other @ 3.24% Total : 61.64% |
How you voted: Merida vs Alaves
Merida AD
12.5%Draw
20.8%Alaves
66.7%24
