Segunda Division | Gameweek 21
Dec 18, 2022 at 8pm UK
Estadio La Rosaleda
Malaga1 - 0Alaves
Coverage of the Segunda Division clash between Malaga and Alaves.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: UD Ibiza 1-1 Malaga
Sunday, December 11 at 1pm in Segunda Division
Sunday, December 11 at 1pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Alaves 0-2 Levante
Monday, December 12 at 8pm in Segunda Division
Monday, December 12 at 8pm in Segunda Division
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malaga win with a probability of 42.79%. A draw had a probability of 29.3% and a win for Alaves had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Malaga win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.73%) and 2-1 (8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.22%), while for an Alaves win it was 0-1 (10.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Malaga in this match.
| Result | ||
| Malaga | Draw | Alaves |
42.79% ( -0.19) | 29.32% ( 0.13) | 27.9% ( 0.07) |
| Both teams to score 42.09% ( -0.29) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
