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Copa del Rey | Round of 32
Jan 8, 2024 at 3.30pm UK
Pistas del Helmantico
Villarreal logo

Unionistas
1 - 1
Villarreal

Planas (87' pen.)
Camus (10'), Jimenez (62'), Mayor (110')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Akhomach (82')
Parejo (14'), Cuenca (73'), Comesana (86'), Sorloth (89'), Terrats (100'), Coquelin (108')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Copa del Rey clash between Unionistas and Villarreal, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: Unionistas 2-0 Sporting Gijon
Wednesday, December 6 at 3pm in Copa del Rey
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We said: Unionistas 1-2 Villarreal

Unionistas will put up a good fight fuelled by the home support, but it might not be enough to make up for the gulf in quality between the two sides. We expect this to be a close game but Villarreal should edge it in the end. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 62.75%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Unionistas had a probability of 15.99%.

The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.37%) and 1-2 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.1%), while for a Unionistas win it was 1-0 (5.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood.

Result
UnionistasDrawVillarreal
15.99% (-0.284 -0.28) 21.25% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1) 62.75% (0.384 0.38)
Both teams to score 49.7% (-0.309 -0.31)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.43% (-0.088000000000001 -0.09)46.57% (0.088999999999999 0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.16% (-0.081999999999997 -0.08)68.84% (0.082999999999998 0.08)
Unionistas Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.94% (-0.423 -0.42)42.06% (0.423 0.42)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.52% (-0.367 -0.37)78.48% (0.36799999999999 0.37)
Villarreal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.77% (0.090999999999994 0.09)14.23% (-0.09 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.02% (0.17700000000001 0.18)41.98% (-0.177 -0.18)
Score Analysis
    Unionistas 15.99%
    Villarreal 62.74%
    Draw 21.24%
UnionistasDrawVillarreal
1-0 @ 5.18% (-0.04 -0.04)
2-1 @ 4.38% (-0.072 -0.07)
2-0 @ 2.25% (-0.044 -0.04)
3-1 @ 1.26% (-0.035 -0.03)
3-2 @ 1.23% (-0.031 -0.03)
Other @ 1.69%
Total : 15.99%
1-1 @ 10.1% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
0-0 @ 5.99% (0.023000000000001 0.02)
2-2 @ 4.27% (-0.056 -0.06)
Other @ 0.89%
Total : 21.24%
0-1 @ 11.66% (0.08 0.08)
0-2 @ 11.37% (0.11 0.11)
1-2 @ 9.85% (-0.013000000000002 -0.01)
0-3 @ 7.39% (0.1 0.1)
1-3 @ 6.4% (0.012 0.01)
0-4 @ 3.6% (0.06 0.06)
1-4 @ 3.12% (0.016 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.77% (-0.026 -0.03)
0-5 @ 1.41% (0.027 0.03)
2-4 @ 1.35% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
1-5 @ 1.22% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 62.74%

How you voted: Unionistas vs Villarreal

Unionistas
16.0%
Draw
4.0%
Villarreal
80.0%
25
rhs 2.0
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