Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 42.27%. A win for Villarreal had a probability of 32.87% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.84%) and 0-2 (6.76%). The likeliest Villarreal win was 2-1 (7.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.67%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Sociedad would win this match.
Result | ||
Villarreal | Draw | Real Sociedad |
32.87% ( -0.03) | 24.87% ( -0.02) | 42.27% ( 0.06) |
Both teams to score 57.45% ( 0.07) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.28% ( 0.1) | 45.73% ( -0.09) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.96% ( 0.1) | 68.05% ( -0.09) |
Villarreal Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.32% ( 0.03) | 26.68% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.07% ( 0.04) | 61.93% ( -0.03) |
Real Sociedad Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.36% ( 0.08) | 21.65% ( -0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.23% ( 0.11) | 54.77% ( -0.1) |
Score Analysis |
Villarreal | Draw | Real Sociedad |
2-1 @ 7.71% ( -0) 1-0 @ 7.63% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 5.04% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 3.4% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.6% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 2.22% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.12% ( 0) Other @ 3.15% Total : 32.87% | 1-1 @ 11.67% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.9% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.78% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.33% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.86% | 1-2 @ 8.94% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 8.84% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 6.76% ( 0) 1-3 @ 4.56% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 3.45% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 3.01% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.74% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.32% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.15% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.5% Total : 42.27% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barcelona | 14 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 42 | 14 | 28 | 34 |
2 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 14 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 21 | 8 | 13 | 29 |
3 | Real Madrid | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 27 |
4 | Villarreal | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 25 |
5 | Osasuna | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 22 |
6 | GironaGirona | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 21 |
7 | Mallorca | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 21 |
8 | Athletic Bilbao | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 20 |
9 | Real BetisBetis | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 20 |
10 | Real Sociedad | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 18 |
11 | Celta Vigo | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 18 |
12 | Rayo Vallecano | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 16 |
13 | Sevilla | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 15 |
14 | Leganes | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 14 |
15 | Getafe | 14 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 13 |
16 | AlavesAlaves | 14 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 15 | 24 | -9 | 13 |
17 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 12 |
18 | Valencia | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 10 |
19 | Espanyol | 13 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 12 | 26 | -14 | 10 |
20 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 10 | 27 | -17 | 9 |
> La Liga Full Table |