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La Liga
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La Liga | Gameweek 17
Dec 17, 2023 at 8pm UK
Estadio Santiago Bernabeu
Villarreal logo

Real Madrid
4 - 1
Villarreal

Bellingham (25'), Rodrygo (37'), Diaz (64'), Modric (68')
Bellingham (67'), Tchouameni (83')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Luis Morales (54')
Altimira (67'), Akhomach (74'), Capoue (85')

The Match

Team News

Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Sunday's La Liga clash between Real Madrid and Villarreal.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Real Madrid and Villarreal, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole looks at how Real Madrid could line up in Sunday's La Liga clash with Villarreal.

Injuries & Suspensions

Sports Mole rounds up Real Madrid's injury and suspension news ahead of their La Liga clash with Villarreal.

Form, Standings, Stats

Real Madrid

All competitions
La Liga
Last Game: Union Berlin 2-3 Real Madrid
Tuesday, December 12 at 8pm in Champions League

Villarreal

All competitions
La Liga
Last Game: Rennes 2-3 Villarreal
Thursday, December 14 at 5.45pm in Europa League

We said: Real Madrid 2-1 Villarreal

 Villarreal's league form this season has been disappointing, but they are more than capable of making this a very tricky match for Real Madrid. The hosts might have to suffer on Sunday, but we are expecting them to navigate their way to what would be a hugely important three points in terms of the title race. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 66.19%. A draw had a probability of 18.1% and a win for Villarreal had a probability of 15.73%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.75%) and 3-1 (7.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.99%), while for a Villarreal win it was 1-2 (4.37%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Madrid would win this match.

Result
Real MadridDrawVillarreal
66.19% (0.10900000000001 0.11) 18.08% (-0.251 -0.25) 15.73% (0.14 0.14)
Both teams to score 60.46% (1.358 1.36)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.75% (1.558 1.56)32.24% (-1.561 -1.56)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
46.15% (1.791 1.79)53.85% (-1.794 -1.79)
Real Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.9% (0.446 0.45)9.1% (-0.449 -0.45)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
69.1% (1.062 1.06)30.9% (-1.065 -1.07)
Villarreal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.51% (1.171 1.17)33.49% (-1.174 -1.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.87% (1.261 1.26)70.13% (-1.263 -1.26)
Score Analysis
    Real Madrid 66.19%
    Villarreal 15.73%
    Draw 18.08%
Real MadridDrawVillarreal
2-1 @ 9.58% (-0.096 -0.1)
2-0 @ 8.75% (-0.375 -0.38)
3-1 @ 7.65% (0.079 0.08)
1-0 @ 7.3% (-0.47 -0.47)
3-0 @ 7% (-0.153 -0.15)
4-1 @ 4.59% (0.138 0.14)
4-0 @ 4.19% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-2 @ 4.19% (0.174 0.17)
4-2 @ 2.51% (0.152 0.15)
5-1 @ 2.2% (0.109 0.11)
5-0 @ 2.01% (0.037 0.04)
5-2 @ 1.2% (0.096 0.1)
4-3 @ 0.92% (0.083 0.08)
Other @ 4.11%
Total : 66.19%
1-1 @ 7.99% (-0.246 -0.25)
2-2 @ 5.24% (0.113 0.11)
0-0 @ 3.05% (-0.262 -0.26)
3-3 @ 1.53% (0.109 0.11)
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 18.08%
1-2 @ 4.37% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-1 @ 3.33% (-0.173 -0.17)
2-3 @ 1.91% (0.1 0.1)
0-2 @ 1.82% (-0.035 -0.03)
1-3 @ 1.59% (0.053 0.05)
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 15.73%

How you voted: Real Madrid vs Villarreal

Real Madrid
87.4%
Draw
8.0%
Villarreal
4.6%
87
Head to Head
Apr 8, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 28
Real Madrid
2-3
Villarreal
Torres (16' og.), Junior (48')
Chukwueze (39', 80'), Luis Morales (70')
> Preview
Jan 19, 2023 8pm
Round of 16
Villarreal
2-3
Real Madrid
Capoue (4'), Chukwueze (42')
Junior (57'), Militao (69'), Ceballos (86')
> Match Report
Jan 7, 2023 3.15pm
Gameweek 16
Villarreal
2-1
Real Madrid
Pino (47'), Moreno (63' pen.)
Benzema (60' pen.)
> Match Report
Feb 12, 2022 3.15pm
Gameweek 24
Villarreal
0-0
Real Madrid
Foyth (23'), Albiol (51')
Militao (23'), Asensio (29'), Bale (45+2'), Casemiro (88')
> Preview
Sep 25, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 7
Real Madrid
0-0
Villarreal
Junior (40')
Coquelin (55'), Gomez (70')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Euro 2024 fixtures header
Wednesday, June 26
 
5pm
Group Stage
Slovakia
vs.
Romania
> Preview
 
5pm
Group Stage
Ukraine
vs.
Belgium
> Preview
 
8pm
Group Stage
Czech Republic
vs.
Turkey
> Preview
 
8pm
Group Stage
Georgia
vs.
Portugal
> Preview
Saturday, June 29
 
5pm
Round of 16
Switzerland
vs.
Italy
 
8pm
Round of 16
Germany
vs.
2nd Group C
Sunday, June 30
 
5pm
Round of 16
1st Group C
vs.
3rd Group D/E/F
 
8pm
Round of 16
Spain
vs.
3rd Group A/D/E/F
Monday, July 1
 
5pm
Round of 16
2nd Group D
vs.
2nd Group E
 
8pm
Round of 16
Portugal
vs.
3rd Group A/B/C
Tuesday, July 2
 
5pm
Round of 16
1st Group E
vs.
3rd Group A/B/C/D
 
8pm
Round of 16
1st Group D
vs.
2nd Group F
Friday, July 5
 
5pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 39
vs.
Winner Match 37
 
8pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 41
vs.
Winner Match 42
Saturday, July 6
 
5pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 40
vs.
Winner Match 38
 
8pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 43
vs.
Winner Match 44
Tuesday, July 9
 
8pm
Semi-Finals
Winner Quarter-final 1
vs.
Winner Quarter-final 2
Wednesday, July 10
 
8pm
Semi-Finals
Winner Quarter-final 3
vs.
Winner Quarter-final 4
Sunday, July 14
 
8pm
Final
Winner SF1
vs.
Winner SF2
> View full version> Results
Tables header RHS

Group A

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Germany Germany32107
Q Switzerland Switzerland31205
3 Hungary Hungary31023
4 Scotland flag Scotland30121

Group B

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Spain Spain33009
Q Italy Italy31114
3 Croatia Croatia30212
4 Albania national flag Albania30121

Group C

TeamPWDLPTS
Q England flag England21104
2 Denmark Denmark20202
3 Slovenia Slovenia20202
4 Serbia Serbia20111

Group D

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Austria Austria32016
Q France France31205
Q Netherlands Netherlands31114
4 Poland Poland30121

Group E

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Romania Romania21013
2 Belgium Belgium21013
3 Slovakia Slovakia21013
4 Ukraine Ukraine21013

Group F

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Portugal Portugal22006
2 Turkey Turkey21013
3 Czech Republic Czech Republic20111
4 Georgia Georgia20111
> European Championship 2024 overview


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