Copa do Brasil | Quarter-Finals | 2nd Leg
Jul 13, 2023 at 12am UK
Arena do Gremio
Gremio1 - 1Bahia
FT
(aet)
(aet)
Gremio win 4-3 on penalties
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Gremio 0-2 Botafogo
Sunday, July 9 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Sunday, July 9 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Goals
for
for
24
Last Game: Cuiaba 1-1 Bahia
Saturday, July 8 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Saturday, July 8 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Goals
for
for
15
We say: Gremio 2-1 Bahia
Gremio are likely to be hurting a little after they fell 10 points behind Botafogo after losing at home to them in the league at the weekend. Cuiabano's injury-time equaliser has clearly put the hosts in a strong position heading into this second leg, and we expect them to get the job done to reach the last four of Brazil's primary domestic cup, even if Bahia are likely to provide them with a stern test along the way. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gremio win with a probability of 53.75%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Bahia had a probability of 21.62%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gremio win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.18%) and 2-1 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.68%), while for a Bahia win it was 0-1 (7.14%).
| Result | ||
| Gremio | Draw | Bahia |
53.75% ( -0.03) | 24.63% ( 0.01) | 21.62% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 49.11% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.62% ( -0.03) | 52.37% ( 0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.94% ( -0.02) | 74.06% ( 0.02) |
| Gremio Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.57% ( -0.02) | 19.43% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 48.73% ( -0.04) | 51.26% ( 0.04) |
| Bahia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.96% ( 0) | 39.04% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 24.24% ( 0) | 75.76% ( -0) |
| Score Analysis |
Gremio 53.75%
Bahia 21.62%
Draw 24.62%
| Gremio | Draw | Bahia |
| 1-0 @ 12.42% 2-0 @ 10.18% 2-1 @ 9.58% ( -0)3-0 @ 5.56% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 5.23% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.46% ( -0)4-0 @ 2.28% ( -0)4-1 @ 2.14% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.01% ( -0)Other @ 2.9% Total : 53.75% | 1-1 @ 11.68% 0-0 @ 7.59% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 4.5% ( -0)Other @ 0.85% Total : 24.62% | 0-1 @ 7.14% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 5.5% ( 0)0-2 @ 3.36% ( 0)1-3 @ 1.72% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.41% 0-3 @ 1.05% ( 0)Other @ 1.44% Total : 21.62% |
How you voted: Gremio vs Bahia
Gremio
89.7%Draw
6.9%Bahia
3.4%29
Head to Head
Jul 5, 2023 1am
Quarter-Finals 1st Leg
Bahia
1-1
Gremio
Jul 1, 2023 10.30pm
Gameweek 13
Bahia
1-2
Gremio
Nov 26, 2021 10pm
Gameweek 36
Bahia
3-1
Gremio
Aug 21, 2021 11pm
