Brasileiro | Gameweek 13
Jul 1, 2023 at 10.30pm UK
Arena Fonte Nova
Bahia1 - 2Gremio
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Fluminense 2-1 Bahia
Saturday, June 24 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Saturday, June 24 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Goals
for
for
13
Last Game: Gremio 5-1 Coritiba
Sunday, June 25 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Sunday, June 25 at 8pm in Brasileiro
We said: Bahia 1-1 Gremio
Bahia have drawn two of their last three home league games, and we think that they will settle for a point when they face a Gremio side who have lost just one of their previous seven Brasileiro matches. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bahia win with a probability of 42.74%. A win for Gremio had a probability of 30.49% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bahia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.74%) and 2-0 (7.82%). The likeliest Gremio win was 0-1 (9.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Bahia | Draw | Gremio |
42.74% ( -0.41) | 26.77% ( 0.02) | 30.49% ( 0.39) |
| Both teams to score 50.29% ( 0.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.45% ( 0.09) | 54.55% ( -0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.1% ( 0.07) | 75.9% ( -0.07) |
| Bahia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.73% ( -0.17) | 25.28% ( 0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 39.96% ( -0.23) | 60.04% ( 0.23) |
| Gremio Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.31% ( 0.33) | 32.7% ( -0.33) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 30.75% ( 0.37) | 69.25% ( -0.36) |
| Score Analysis |
Bahia 42.73%
Gremio 30.49%
Draw 26.77%
| Bahia | Draw | Gremio |
| 1-0 @ 11.36% ( -0.09) 2-1 @ 8.74% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 7.82% ( -0.1)3-1 @ 4.01% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 3.58% ( -0.07)3-2 @ 2.24% 4-1 @ 1.38% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 1.23% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.38% Total : 42.73% | 1-1 @ 12.7% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 8.26% ( -0.03)2-2 @ 4.88% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.92% Total : 26.77% | 0-1 @ 9.24% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 7.1% ( 0.07)0-2 @ 5.16% ( 0.07)1-3 @ 2.65% ( 0.05)0-3 @ 1.92% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 1.82% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.59% Total : 30.49% |
How you voted: Bahia vs Gremio
Bahia
30.9%Draw
23.6%Gremio
45.5%55
Head to Head
Nov 26, 2021 10pm
Gameweek 36
Bahia
3-1
Gremio
Aug 21, 2021 11pm
Oct 16, 2019 11.15pm
