Copa Libertadores

Copa Libertadores | Group Stage

May 25, 2022 at 1.30am UK

Estádio Olímpico João Havelange

Flamengo
2 - 1
Cristal

Isla (30'), Pedro (74')
Gomes (37')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Gonzales (85')
Tavara (7'), Yotun (80')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Copa Libertadores clash between Flamengo and Sporting Cristal, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Flamengo

Last Six:

Last Game: Bragantino 1-0 Flamengo
Thursday, June 9 at 12.30am in Brasileiro

Next Game: Internacional vs. Flamengo
Sunday, June 12 at 1am in Brasileiro

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
13	Goias	10	-2	13
14	Flamengo	10	0	12
15	Botafogo	10	-3	12

Sporting Cristal

Last Six:

Last Game: Flamengo 2-1 Cristal
Wednesday, May 25 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores

Current League Standings

PTS

Top scorers

We said: Flamengo 2-1 Sporting Cristal

Although top spot is already assured, we think that Flamengo will have too much quality for Sporting Cristal on Tuesday, and three points on Tuesday would provide the Brazilian side with a third consecutive victory in all competitions. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 68.38%. A draw had a probability of 20.9% and a win for Sporting Cristal had a probability of 10.73%.

The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (15.09%) and 3-0 (9.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.36%), while for a Sporting Cristal win it was 0-1 (5.01%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Flamengo in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Flamengo.

Result
Flamengo	Draw	Sporting Cristal
68.38% ( -0.02)	20.88% ( 0)	10.73% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 37.17% (

0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.24% (

0.02)

55.75% (

-0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.11% (

0.02)

76.89% (

-0.02)

Flamengo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.55% (

0.01)

15.45% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.69% (

0.01)

44.3% (

-0)

Sporting Cristal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

43.96% (

0.04)

56.04% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

11.51% (

0.03)

88.49% (

-0.02)

Score Analysis

Flamengo 68.37%

Sporting Cristal 10.73%

Draw 20.88%

Flamengo	Draw	Sporting Cristal
1-0 @ 16.16% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 15.09% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 9.4% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.74% ( 0) 3-1 @ 5.44% ( 0) 4-0 @ 4.39% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.54% ( 0) 5-0 @ 1.64% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.58% ( 0) 5-1 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.44% Total : 68.37%	1-1 @ 9.36% ( 0) 0-0 @ 8.66% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 2.53% ( 0) Other @ 0.33% Total : 20.88%	0-1 @ 5.01% ( 0) 1-2 @ 2.71% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 1.45% ( 0) Other @ 1.56% Total : 10.73%