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Copa Libertadores
Flamengo
Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
May 18, 2022 at 1.30am UK
Estádio Olímpico João Havelange

Flamengo
3 - 0
Catolica

Arao (7'), Ribeiro (39'), Pedro (90')
Pereira (2'), Matheuzinho (3'), Arao (90+2')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Astudillo (29'), Gutierrez (42'), Tapia (71')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Copa Libertadores clash between Flamengo and Universidad Catolica, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Flamengo

Last Six:
Last Game: Bragantino 1-0 Flamengo
Thursday, June 9 at 12.30am in Brasileiro
Next Game: Internacional vs. Flamengo
Sunday, June 12 at 1am in Brasileiro

Universidad Catolica

Last Six:
    Last Game: Catolica 0-1 Talleres
    Wednesday, May 25 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores
    Next Game: Catolica vs. Sao Paulo
    Friday, July 1 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana

    We said: Flamengo 2-0 Universidad Catolica

     Flamengo have so far enjoyed an unbeaten campaign and will be looking to secure their place in the knockout stages. Universidad Catolica, meanwhile, have struggled to grind out results, managing just one win from their four games. We predict the Brazilian outfit will come away with all three points and heap more misery on the floundering visitors. Read more.

    Data Analysis

    Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 61.83%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Universidad Catolica had a probability of 15.23%.

    The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.75%) and 2-1 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.68%), while for a Universidad Catolica win it was 0-1 (6.08%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Flamengo would win this match.

    Result
    FlamengoDrawUniversidad Catolica
    61.83% (0.0039999999999978 0) 22.94% (-0.004999999999999 -0) 15.23% (0.0030000000000001 0)
    Both teams to score 43.13% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
    Goals
    Over 2.5Under 2.5
    45.47% (0.027000000000001 0.03)54.53% (-0.026000000000003 -0.03)
    Over 3.5Under 3.5
    24.12% (0.023 0.02)75.88% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
    Flamengo Goals
    Over 0.5Under 0.5
    82.76% (0.012999999999991 0.01)17.24% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
    Over 1.5Under 1.5
    52.46% (0.019999999999996 0.02)47.54% (-0.017000000000003 -0.02)
    Universidad Catolica Goals
    Over 0.5Under 0.5
    52.11% (0.020999999999994 0.02)47.89% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)
    Over 1.5Under 1.5
    16.85% (0.016000000000002 0.02)83.15% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)
    Score Analysis
        Flamengo 61.82%
        Universidad Catolica 15.23%
        Draw 22.93%
    FlamengoDrawUniversidad Catolica
    1-0 @ 14.51% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
    2-0 @ 12.75% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
    2-1 @ 9.39% (0.0020000000000007 0)
    3-0 @ 7.48%
    3-1 @ 5.5% (0.0029999999999992 0)
    4-0 @ 3.29% (0.00099999999999989 0)
    4-1 @ 2.42% (0.0020000000000002 0)
    3-2 @ 2.03% (0.0019999999999998 0)
    5-0 @ 1.16%
    Other @ 3.3%
    Total : 61.82%
    		1-1 @ 10.68%
    0-0 @ 8.26% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
    2-2 @ 3.46% (0.0030000000000001 0)
    Other @ 0.54%
    Total : 22.93%
    		0-1 @ 6.08% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
    1-2 @ 3.93% (0.0020000000000002 0)
    0-2 @ 2.24%
    1-3 @ 0.97% (0.001 0)
    Other @ 2.02%
    Total : 15.23%

    How you voted: Flamengo vs Catolica

    Flamengo
    52.9%
    Draw
    29.4%
    Universidad Catolica
    17.6%
    17
    Head to Head
    Apr 28, 2022 11pm
    Catolica
    2-3
    Flamengo
    Isla (16' og.), Pablo (90+5' og.)
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    Gutierrez (86')
    Barbosa (8', 35'), Lazaro (85')
    Arao (34'), Marinho (68')
    rhs 2.0
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