MX23RW : Sunday, February 2 08:17:50| >> :600:5653410:5653410:
Copa Libertadores WWW header

Copa Libertadores
Flamengo
Copa Libertadores | Semi-Finals | 2nd Leg
Sep 8, 2022 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho

Flamengo
2 - 1
Velez Sarsfield

Pedro (42'), Marinho (68')
Luis (51'), Vidal (58')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Pratto (21')
Garayalde (62'), Seoane (90'), Brizuela (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Copa Libertadores clash between Flamengo and Velez Sarsfield, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Flamengo

Last Six:
Last Game: Flamengo 1-1 Ceara
Sunday, September 4 at 3pm in Brasileiro

Velez Sarsfield

Last Six:
Last Game: Velez Sarsfield 0-1 Newell's OB
Saturday, September 3 at 7.30pm in Argentine Primera Division

We said: Flamengo 3-0 Velez Sarsfield (Flamengo advances 7-0 on aggregate).

 Flamengo have never lost a two-leg semi-final in this competition and have not conceded four goals in a match since a 4-0 domestic defeat to Atletico Mineiro on November 8, 2020. When you combine that with the fact that the Argentines are winless in their last six matches in all competitions, there is every reason to suggest that the clock will strike midnight on the Velez Sarsfield Cinderella story this week. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 62.81%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Velez Sarsfield had a probability of 13.14%.

The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.41%) and 2-1 (8.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (10.78%), while for a Velez Sarsfield win it was 0-1 (6.39%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Flamengo would win this match.

Result
FlamengoDrawVelez Sarsfield
62.81% (-0.055 -0.05) 24.04% (0.0079999999999991 0.01) 13.14% (0.044 0.04)
Both teams to score 35.96% (0.078000000000003 0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.44% (0.042999999999999 0.04)61.56% (-0.043999999999997 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.59% (0.030999999999999 0.03)81.41% (-0.034000000000006 -0.03)
Flamengo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.49% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)19.5% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.61% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)51.38% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Velez Sarsfield Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
44.67% (0.1 0.1)55.32% (-0.101 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
11.92% (0.058 0.06)88.07% (-0.058999999999997 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    Flamengo 62.8%
    Velez Sarsfield 13.15%
    Draw 24.04%
FlamengoDrawVelez Sarsfield
1-0 @ 17.63% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
2-0 @ 14.41% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-1 @ 8.53% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-0 @ 7.85% (-0.015 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.65% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
4-0 @ 3.21% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.9% (0.002 0)
3-2 @ 1.38% (0.0049999999999999 0)
5-0 @ 1.05% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 62.8%
0-0 @ 10.78% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
1-1 @ 10.44% (0.02 0.02)
2-2 @ 2.53% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 24.04%
0-1 @ 6.39% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
1-2 @ 3.09% (0.013 0.01)
0-2 @ 1.89% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 1.78%
Total : 13.15%

How you voted: Flamengo vs Velez Sarsfield

Flamengo
88.9%
Draw
7.4%
Velez Sarsfield
3.7%
27
Head to Head
Sep 1, 2022 1.30am
Velez Sarsfield
0-4
Flamengo

Gomez (54'), de los Santos (68'), Seoane (90+2')
Pedro (32', 61', 83'), Ribeiro (45+1')
Barbosa (34'), Maia (67'), Luiz (74'), Pereira (84'), Pulgar (90')
May 28, 2021 1am
Flamengo
0-0
Velez Sarsfield

Gerson (21'), Henrique (32'), Caio (82')

Ortega (57'), Caseres (86')
Ortega (90+5')
Apr 21, 2021 1.30am
Velez Sarsfield
2-3
Flamengo
Janson (21', 54')
Caseres (27'), Martin Lucero (35'), Hoyos (60'), Almada (66'), Galdames (85')
Mancuello (86')
Arao (43'), Barbosa (62' pen.), De Arrascaeta (80')
Henrique (46'), Alves (55'), Batista de Souza (73'), Henrique (83'), Diego (90+3')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool23175156213556
2Arsenal23138244212347
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest24145540271347
4Manchester CityMan City23125647301741
5Newcastle UnitedNewcastle24125742291341
6Chelsea23117545301540
7Bournemouth24117641281340
8Aston Villa2410773437-337
9Fulham249963632436
10Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton2481063538-334
11Brentford2394104240231
12Manchester UnitedMan Utd2385102832-429
13Crystal Palace236982630-427
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham2376102844-1627
15Everton236892328-526
16Tottenham HotspurSpurs2373134637924
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves2454153452-1819
18Leicester CityLeicester2445152553-2817
19Ipswich TownIpswich2437142249-2716
20Southampton2423191854-369
> Premier League Full Table


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!